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BEST PRICE
We back
Figueiredo
over Nurmagomedov · Catchweight
Our fair value$9.45
pays above fair
$10.84
Best prices · Figueiredo
BetRivers · US
$10.50
LiveScore Bet · UK
$10.50
Pinnacle · EU
$10.84
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$10.50
Where to back Figueiredo
best price · region · EV vs fair $9.45
US
BetRivers
$10.50
+11%
BetRivers
$10.50
+11%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$10.50
+11%
LiveScore Bet
$10.50
+11%
EU
Pinnacle
$10.84
+15%
Pinnacle
$10.84
+15%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$10.50
+11%
Ladbrokes AU
$10.50
+11%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$11.11
How it endsmethod calls · Figueiredo · crowd line
Submission
2
$9.45
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 19-1
VS
25-6-1 Figueiredo
5'8"
height
5'5"
136 lb
weight
138 lb
69"
reach
68"
30
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
4.2
63%
striking accuracy
44%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
63%
striking defence
46%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
50%
takedown accuracy
37%
100%
takedown defence
58%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market11% vs 9%
Consensus39 of 283 analysts
Sharpest angleFigueiredo by Submission — 2 of 2 method calls
Recommendation
Back Figueiredo @ $10.84 · fair $9.45
+15% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MA
Mustafa Abutair picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“I could even see Omar finishing him in two rounds on the ground with ground and pound dooror submission.”
Mustafa Abutair picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“I could even see Omar finishing him in two rounds on the ground with ground and pound dooror submission.”
FI
FightCircuit picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Umar Nurmagomedov is going to end up sitting on NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 for a victoff with Arnold Allen”
FightCircuit picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Umar Nurmagomedov is going to end up sitting on NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 for a victoff with Arnold Allen”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Umar Nurmagomedov
Keep it a Buck Media picks Umar Nurmagomedov
LI
liltoaster picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm gonna go Umar Nurmagomedov.”
liltoaster picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm gonna go Umar Nurmagomedov.”
LI
liltoaster picks Deiveson Figueiredo
“I'm going with Deiveson Figueiredo because he kind of looks like Chris Michael Johnson.”
liltoaster picks Deiveson Figueiredo
“I'm going with Deiveson Figueiredo because he kind of looks like Chris Michael Johnson.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think Umar is going to dominate this fight wrestling for three rounds.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think Umar is going to dominate this fight wrestling for three rounds.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think he's only going to win this by points... it's by points it's by points”
CouchWarrior1 picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think he's only going to win this by points... it's by points it's by points”
TP
The Touch Gloves Podcast picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“I am going to predict an Umar, either an Umar decision or an Umar submission.”
The Touch Gloves Podcast picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“I am going to predict an Umar, either an Umar decision or an Umar submission.”
BS
Betting Weekly Studios picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“probably take Umar Nurmagomedov by sub”
Betting Weekly Studios picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“probably take Umar Nurmagomedov by sub”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“it's going to be a long day for Deiveson Figueiredo.”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“it's going to be a long day for Deiveson Figueiredo.”
SP
SportsLine picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Look, I love Umar Nurmagomedov in I've seen Umar Nurmagomedov as high as a 16 Umar Nurmagomedov by knockout and Umar Nurmagomedov off trains with Islam”
SportsLine picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Look, I love Umar Nurmagomedov in I've seen Umar Nurmagomedov as high as a 16 Umar Nurmagomedov by knockout and Umar Nurmagomedov off trains with Islam”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I plus 190 because Umar Nurmagomedov by submission is yeah, I like Umar Nurmagomedov to win looking at Umar Nurmagomedov inside the distance”
$2.90
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I plus 190 because Umar Nurmagomedov by submission is yeah, I like Umar Nurmagomedov to win looking at Umar Nurmagomedov inside the distance”
$2.90
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov19-1
W
Figueiredo
Jan '26
W
Bautista
Oct '25
L
Dvalishvili
Jan '25
W
Sandhagen
Aug '24
W
Almakhan
Mar '24
Figueiredo25-6-1
L
Yadong
May '26
L
Nurmagomedov
Jan '26
W
Jackson
Oct '25
L
Sandhagen
May '25
L
Yan
Nov '24