UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
GD
Grant Dawson
v Bobby Green
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Grant Dawson
v Bobby Green
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going with Grant Daw by submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.26
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close$1.25
Dawson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.50
KK
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
v Diana Belbiţă
PROP · DECISION
WON
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
v Diana Belbiţă
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'm going go karolina she's minus 160ish on EVENT_DETAILS um I think she's had stiffer competition I think boita is I don't think she's a slouch but I don't think she's had tough competition as of yet um and I always seem to doubt kolina for some reason I always doubt her not don't if it's because of her inactivity um I think she was pretty quiet a few years back and then she just came on the scene a year or two ago and started like taking off these names um but she's 37 so I kind of rode her off a little bit because of her age she kept proving me wrong so I'm not going to doubt her again this weekend I'm going karolina um just straight just straight win by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.65
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Kowalkiewicz’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.62
DD
Drew Dober
v Ricky Glenn
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Drew Dober
v Ricky Glenn
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“my first pick is Drew Dober by knockout I don't know the round but I do believe that he's got fire in his hands uh that boy's always on the roll he's incredible he's got great hair which I'm very jealous and envious of uh Rick Glenn he's like one of those crafty vets that's just always there in the fight and he's got good grappl he's got good stuff but his last fight looking a little bit sluggish he's definitely a dude that's been in there with tough guys he had a good fight with Grant Dawson but that was a couple years back you know he kind of gassed Grant out in the third round he was able to hang with him but he got dominated the first two I just feel like Drew's kind of got a point to prove he had a great knockout against Bobby Green a couple fights ago I could see him replicating that because listen Bobby Green's boxing's way slicker than Rick's and he was unable to fight against that he got coralled against the fence and finished I could see uh this maybe being the last couple of maybe four to six fights you know for Rick Glenn he's I believe 30 something he's mid-30s at least and it's hard man in these lower weight classes to to keep on going so long story short I got Drew Dober by KO”
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CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.25
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Dober’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AM
Alex Morono
v Joaquin Buckley
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Alex Morono
v Joaquin Buckley
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“my Underdog pick on this one is going to be Alex Moronoander Hernandez by decision a lot of wrestling control”
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Morono’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AQ
Aori Qileng
v Johnny Muñoz Jr.
MONEYLINE
WON
Aori Qileng
v Johnny Muñoz Jr.
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to go with a guy that a lot of people are probably overlooking on this card um Aori Qileng versus Johnny Muñoz Jr. I'm going to REI Lang here he did get knocked out a few months ago against the hobby first round KO was was pretty nasty but overall the guy's talented I think he's going to be too much for Munoz Muno just hasn't really impressed me he hasn't fought anybody hasn't had any notable wins I don't think there's much there for him um there's not much danger for arichi Lang so I think he wins this fight outright I don't know if it's by decision or knockout I'm just going overall winner”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.93
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close$1.96
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JP
Joe Pyfer
v Abdul Razak Alhassan
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Joe Pyfer
v Abdul Razak Alhassan
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“for my second pick I'm going with Joe Pyfer by knockout uh his last four wins were all by TKO or Knockouts also the UFC really likes this guy he has a really great story behind him so you you guys know with the UFC they're a little more careful with these guys with the matchups um BR Brad says his name way better than I did but I'm just going to say Abdul Razak Alhassan but I think this is kind of easy match up for Joe I think he can get the knockout easily”
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CLV −2%
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Pyfer’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM
Mateus Mendonça
v Nate Maness
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Mateus Mendonça
v Nate Maness
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going Mateus Mendonça by KO over Nate Manis he's obviously he's aggressive he's a shoot boox guy Nate Maness I think he's just too cautious I think he's very talented has a ton of potential but I just don't think he's aggressive enough to cause any danger to uh to menona I think it's a KO I'm not sure what the odds are yet he's a minus 250 favorite I believe um so hopefully the odds are close to to even money and I think that's a should be a sure pick I think he'll get The Knockout he just fought basharat who's I mean super talented guy and I think they went the distance I believe so if he goes Toe totoe with him then I think this will be relatively an easy fight for him that I think he gets The Knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.44
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Mendonça’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.40
JB
Joaquin Buckley
v Alex Morono
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Joaquin Buckley
v Alex Morono
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm going with Joaquin Buckley uh just money line just kind of a fun fight I think this might be the fight of the night um he's coming off a knockout win against Andre falo which not really saying much but yeah I'm gonna go walking Buckley kind of a fun pick I really like him I think he has he's fun to watch he has great striking he's got like this cool martial art kind of background type of fighting style so I'm gonna go with the H bugley I would go with the knockout I think I don't know I going be a little more SA just money line cuz I think this is going to be a tossup fight”
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entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish