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Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · breakdown

🤔 Jimmy’s UFC London Predictions! Is Leon Edwards in Trouble?"

JC Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator
15 months ago 2W–3L · -0.9u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
NW Nathaniel Wood v Morgan Charrière PROP · DECISION WON
“I got to go with Nathaniel Wood simply because there's not a lot separating these guys there's not enough usfc experience for charier to let us know really what we're dealing with yet um heavy-handed but hasn't had to fight anybody great Nathaniel Wood has fought some pretty tough guys not what I would call great but tough and so I got to go with Nathaniel Wood if you can get plus money on him which you can so I'd say Nathaniel Wood safe pick is by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.37 close$2.30
Wood’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.40
JV Jordan Vucenic v Chris Duncan MONEYLINE LOST
“I got to go for Jordan Vucenic very very easy for that one Jesus Christ four to one odds on a guy who yeah lost his UFC debut but 13 and3 is comparatively experienced”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.28 close$1.28
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
SB Sean Brady v Leon Edwards MONEYLINE WON
“I'd still go with Shawn Sean Brady probably doesn't finish him so one that was out of order because a lot of times the the odd sites have have it out of order so I missed it Carlos Ulberg versus Jan bovich um this is a really fascinating fight because Yan blov is one of those guys who um you know obviously former Champion lost last time out to to Alex petta that was two years ago coming up on two years ago middle of 2023 so yeah he's been out for a while almost two years um taking on a guy in Carlos Ulberg who is Eric nixi gave an interview about Carlos olberg and said he's never held paths for anyone who hits as hard as Carlos olberg he said I've had to like like my hands are hurting me the guy can can hit like a 48 train um big 6'4 excellent kickboxer excellent record but hasn't fought the kind of talent that Yan bovich has fought not even close when you look at it this is really the most significant test easily of KL Goldberg's career um he beat Vulcan usir his last time out vcan mamir has been through a lot of fights uh he isn't the figh he once was I I don't know how great vcan oir ever vcan oir ever was but um able to beat him by UNAM decision other than that aren't any real names on his resume he's beating a bunch of guys a lot of them in impressive fashion you know he is a knockout puncher 11 wins eight finishes but it's the idea that Jan Błachowicz has fought all the great talent so I I would have been leaning Carlos Ulberg in this because I see what the DC is trying to do is just kind of inject some new blood orber is not young he's 34 years old but new blood in terms of like like a new face great kickboxer etc etc etc then I looked at the odds and they're freaking absurd it is yon bovich plus 240 Carlos Ulberg a minus 300 favorite you gotta go with Jan Błachowicz for that kind of money I'm still leaning overberg if you would have G him said who's going to win I would say Carlos Ulberg probably but not three to one a veteran guy a guy who's really well-rounded a guy who might take oldberg places he's just not used to going um he's old for MMA he's 42 years old right now um Yan bovich so a lot of the x- factors point to oldberg but oldberg is not a spring chicken okay um 34 years old himself so it's this idea that you don't have odds that are that skewed for somebody who really hasn't shown us you know everything in the UFC against top talent Jan Błachowicz has we know Jan Błachowicz is ceiling we do and it's damn near the top we don't know where olberg ceiling is really and so I don't see how 3 to one makes sense so just for the money you got to go for Yan bovich if you're GNA go with olberg do it obviously first round knockout okay that he catches the old man uh early two years off got some ring rust catches him early but three to one I just don't see those odd so a little bit out of order because they had the wrong order in the on the the the sheet I was looking at so those are my picks for EVENT_DETAILS let me know I will own my picks as always on Monday I'll see you soon [Music]”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.71 close$1.68
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
JB Jan Błachowicz v Carlos Ulberg MONEYLINE LOST
“you gotta go with Jan Błachowicz for that kind of money I'm still leaning overberg if you would have G him said who's going to win I would say Carlos Ulberg probably but not three to one”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$3.60 close$3.55
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
GN Gunnar Nelson v Kevin Holland PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I gotta go with Gunnar Nelson over Kevin Holland on to the main event... look for the early stoppage because as I said Kevin Holland when he does go wrong he tends to go wrong early he does something dumb and ends up giving up his back or some kind of you know difficult position early so an early submission is always a good bet if you're going against Kevin Holland so I gotta go with Gunnar Nelson over Kevin Holland”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.87 close$1.88
Nelson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.82