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Brady vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
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Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
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Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Brady vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
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GN
Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
AT
MM
Thainara vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
CD
JV
Duncan vs VucenicMain Card · Lightweight
NW
MC
Wood vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
CP
JH
Padilla vs HerbertPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LK
FS
Kavanagh vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
MP
Tybura vs ParkinPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
AP
Duncan vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SB
PT
Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CL
NF
Loughran vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
KF
GK
Fernandes vs KutateladzePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Holland
over Nelson · Welterweight
Our fair value$1.91
BetRivers · US
$2.04
NordicBet · EU
$2.12
Where to back Holland
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.91
US
BetRivers
$2.04
+7%
BetRivers
$2.04
+7%
UK
Betway
$2.10
+10%
EU
NordicBet
$2.12
+11%
NordicBet
$2.12
+11%
AU
TAB
$2.20
+15%
How it endsmethod calls · Holland · crowd line
KO/TKO
24
$2.63
Submission
3
$21.04
Decision
4
$15.78
None
2
$31.56
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15
VS
19-5-1 Nelson
6'3"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
81"
reach
72"
33
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.2
strikes landed / min
1.8
49%
striking accuracy
61%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
50%
striking defence
49%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
38%
takedown accuracy
59%
54%
takedown defence
66%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market52% vs 45%
Consensus42 of 66 analysts
Sharpest angleHolland by KO/TKO — 24 of 33 method calls
Recommendation
Back Holland @ $2.20 · fair $1.91
+15% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I picked Kevin Holland to win this fight”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Ghana Nelson.”
$1.82
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Gunnar Nelson
“I got Gunnar Nelson play I'm Gunnar Nelson by default”
SL
SUPER LUTAS picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE
“vitória do Gunnar Nelson contra o Kevin Holland”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland by knockout”
UF
Ultimate fight fan picks Gunnar Nelson
“backing Gunnar Nelson to beat Kevin Holland”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I am going to pick Kevin hen in 2025”
TM
The Random Of MMA picks Gunnar Nelson
“I'm actually GNA go with Gunnar Gunnar Nelson by decision or I better yet maybe even a submission”
MM
Money Mitch MMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I'm choosing Kevin Holland to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland will do it.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W
Brown
Apr '26
L
Malott
Oct '25
L
Rodriguez
Jul '25
W
Luque
Jun '25
W
Nelson
Mar '25
Nelson19-5-1
L
Holland
Mar '25
W
Barberena
Mar '23
W
Sato
Mar '22
L
Burns
Sep '19
L
Edwards
Mar '19