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BEST PRICE
We back
Padilla
over Herbert · Lightweight
Our fair value$1.79
pays above fair
$1.96
Best prices · Padilla
SportsBet · AU
$1.96
Where to back Padilla
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.79
US
FanDuel
$1.96
+10%
UK
Betway
$1.91
+7%
EU
BET
Betsson
$1.95
+9%
AU
SportsBet
$1.96
+10%
SportsBet
$1.96
+10%
How it endsmethod calls · Padilla · crowd line
KO/TKO
7
$4.09
Submission
5
$5.72
Decision
4
$7.15
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Padilla 0-0
VS
13-6-1 Herbert
5'9"
height
6'1"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
77"
30
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.8
strikes landed / min
3.2
61%
striking accuracy
42%
4.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
46%
striking defence
52%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
75%
takedown accuracy
23%
0%
takedown defence
59%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 51%
Consensus38 of 56 analysts
Sharpest anglePadilla by KO/TKO — 7 of 16 method calls
Recommendation
Back Padilla @ $1.96 · fair $1.79
+10% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Jacob's Underdog lock of the week also won... this week plus one0 Chris Padilla”
$2.10
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jai Herbert VALUE
“I'm going Chris Padilla”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Vou simples na vitória do Chris Padilla”
MB
MMA BG picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“My prediction, Chris Padilla decision”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“give me Chris Padilla Jai Herbert is the less durable fighter he's the slower fighter at this point in both of their careers in my opinion and the aura of Taco p IDE is just on another level this guy is a guy I can trust and he's profited for me in the past”
CT
Combat Sports Today picks Chris Padilla
“Chris Padilla should win this what's Chris Padilla by sub?”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jai Herbert VALUE
“So, I'm thinking John Herbert minus 110.”
$1.91
UF
Ultimate fight fan picks Chris Padilla
“Chris Padilla could beat Joe Herbert”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I think Chris Padilla can win this fight I think he does win this fight”
FV
Fight IQ with Von picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Give me Chris Padilla Taco”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Padilla0-0
W
Bonfim
Nov '25
W
Herbert
Mar '25
W
Zhu
Sep '24
W
Llontop
Apr '24
Herbert13-6-1
W
Nallo
Apr '26
L
Padilla
Mar '25
W
Bedoya
Aug '24
L
Ziam
Jul '23
W
Nelson
Jul '22