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Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
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Wood vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
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Padilla vs HerbertPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Kavanagh vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
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Tybura vs ParkinPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
AP
Duncan vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SB
PT
Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CL
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Loughran vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
dos Santos
over Kavanagh · Flyweight
Our fair value$3.37
pays above fair
$3.50
Best prices · dos Santos
Caesars · US
$3.40
NordicBet · EU
$3.50
Where to back dos Santos
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.37
US
Caesars
$3.40
+1%
Caesars
$3.40
+1%
UK
Grosvenor
$3.35
-1%
EU
NordicBet
$3.50
+4%
NordicBet
$3.50
+4%
AU
Neds
$3.35
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · dos Santos · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$30.36
Submission
3
$10.12
Decision
5
$6.07
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kavanagh 9-1
VS
8-2 dos Santos
5'6"
height
5'7"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
70"
27
age
25
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
3.9
50%
striking accuracy
37%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
54%
striking defence
41%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
40%
takedown accuracy
0%
82%
takedown defence
14%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market30% vs 29%
Consensus16 of 50 analysts
Sharpest angledos Santos by Decision — 5 of 9 method calls
Recommendation
Back dos Santos @ $3.50 · fair $3.37
+4% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Felipe dos Santos
“because I'm on Felipe dos Santos”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE
“I'm going to say L Lone'er Kavanagh wins against Felipe dos Santos dos Santos”
$1.36
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE
“eu acho que o Felipe dos Santos vence esse combate”
CZ
Czaleo picks Felipe dos Santos
“I'm going to go with Felipe dos Santos dos Santos at plus 245 on the money line”
$3.45
WM
Wade MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm gonna go kavanau via decision”
MB
MMA BG picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“my prediction is Lonier Kavanaaugh decision”
FI
FightCircuit picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm gonna go with Lone'er Kavanagh to win this one.”
TM
The Random Of MMA picks Felipe dos Santos
“I'm going to go with Felipe dos Santos dos Santos by a knockout”
EM
El Cuarto del MMA picks Felipe dos Santos
“nuestra predicción será que Felipe dos Santos dos Santos termine llevándose esta pelea aunque sea por una decisión dividida”
EG
El Guapo picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm taking Lone'er Kavanagh”
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks Felipe dos Santos
“I did pick him to win though uh Chris also saying that Felipe dos Santos was recently injured sure I'll take Shauna Bannon for that I think her sub's at a very decent price right now actually”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kavanagh9-1
W
Moreno
Feb '26
L
Johnson
Aug '25
W
Santos
Mar '25
W
Ochoa
Nov '24
dos Santos8-2
L
Kavanagh
Mar '25
L
Lima
Sep '24
W
Altamirano
Feb '24
L
Kape
Sep '23