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Brady vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
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JB
Ulberg vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
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Thainara vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Duncan vs VucenicMain Card · Lightweight
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Padilla vs HerbertPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Kavanagh vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Tybura vs ParkinPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Duncan vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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PT
Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Loughran vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
KF
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Fernandes vs KutateladzePreliminary Card · Lightweight
LE
Brady vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
CU
JB
Ulberg vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
KH
GN
Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
AT
MM
Thainara vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
CD
JV
Duncan vs VucenicMain Card · Lightweight
NW
MC
Wood vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
CP
JH
Padilla vs HerbertPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LK
FS
Kavanagh vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
MP
Tybura vs ParkinPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
AP
Duncan vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SB
PT
Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CL
NF
Loughran vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
KF
GK
Fernandes vs KutateladzePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Błachowicz
over Ulberg · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$3.22
pays above fair
$3.50
Best prices · Błachowicz
Bovada · US
$3.50
Unibet (UK) · UK
$3.25
Pinnacle · EU
$3.41
PlayUp · AU
$3.35
Where to back Błachowicz
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.22
US
Bovada
$3.50
+9%
Bovada
$3.50
+9%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$3.25
+1%
Unibet (UK)
$3.25
+1%
EU
Pinnacle
$3.41
+6%
Pinnacle
$3.41
+6%
AU
PlayUp
$3.35
+4%
PlayUp
$3.35
+4%
How it endsmethod calls · Błachowicz · crowd line
KO/TKO
3
$21.46
Submission
2
$32.19
Decision
15
$4.29
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ulberg 14-1
VS
29-10-1 Błachowicz
6'4"
height
—
205 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
35
age
43
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.4
63%
striking accuracy
50%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
64%
striking defence
53%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
71%
takedown accuracy
50%
77%
takedown defence
68%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market31% vs 29%
Consensus32 of 87 analysts
Sharpest angleBłachowicz by Decision — 15 of 20 method calls
Recommendation
Back Błachowicz @ $3.50 · fair $3.22
+9% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE
“Jan pressured forward ulberg would land like a striker two dance around”
We Want Picks picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE
“Jan pressured forward ulberg would land like a striker two dance around”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“Carlos Ulberg continues the longest active win streak at 205”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“Carlos Ulberg continues the longest active win streak at 205”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“the new prediction strategy says Carlos Ulberg is 100% going to win.”
$1.33
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“the new prediction strategy says Carlos Ulberg is 100% going to win.”
$1.33
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jan Błachowicz
“yeah I'm all over the Jan Błachowicz blakovich”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jan Błachowicz
“yeah I'm all over the Jan Błachowicz blakovich”
TF
TNT Sports Football picks Jan Błachowicz
“it's got to be Jan Błachowicz. And of course, it has. Yeah. I mean, it's it ends in a very violent way, doesn't it? Yeah. It's it's it's it's my favorite fight on the card.”
TNT Sports Football picks Jan Błachowicz
“it's got to be Jan Błachowicz. And of course, it has. Yeah. I mean, it's it ends in a very violent way, doesn't it? Yeah. It's it's it's it's my favorite fight on the card.”
WM
Wade MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm going yanovich via decision”
Wade MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm going yanovich via decision”
MB
MMA BG picks Carlos Ulberg
“my prediction is Carlos Olberg decision”
MMA BG picks Carlos Ulberg
“my prediction is Carlos Olberg decision”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Carlos Ulberg
“the simulations have Carlos Ulberg Ulberg coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with three simulation victories by decision”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Carlos Ulberg
“the simulations have Carlos Ulberg Ulberg coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with three simulation victories by decision”
CO
Covers picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think Carlos Carlos Ulberg's going to win.”
Covers picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think Carlos Carlos Ulberg's going to win.”
UF
Ultimate fight fan picks Jan Błachowicz
“Yan blov will beat kosberg”
Ultimate fight fan picks Jan Błachowicz
“Yan blov will beat kosberg”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I got to go Carlos ubber here”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I got to go Carlos ubber here”
FU
FunkMasterMMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I do think there's something to be said about the guy who's been more active, possibly more hungry, younger, upcoming lion. He has momentum on the side. That's a hard guy to beat.”
FunkMasterMMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I do think there's something to be said about the guy who's been more active, possibly more hungry, younger, upcoming lion. He has momentum on the side. That's a hard guy to beat.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W
Procházka
Apr '26
W
Reyes
Sep '25
W
Błachowicz
Mar '25
W
Oezdemir
Nov '24
W
Menifield
May '24
Błachowicz29-10-1
L
Ulberg
Mar '25
L
Pereira
Jul '23
W
Rakić
May '22
L
Teixeira
Oct '21
W
Adesanya
Mar '21