UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · breakdown
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LC
Lee Chang-ho
v Xiao Long
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going with Lee Chang-ho here um despite the experienced discrepancy between the two I think changal has fought better Fighters generally than Xiao Long and he's finished more of them at a higher percentage and one thing about Chang Holi that I really like that I have written down I have takedown and grounded pound written down because he can get a takedown he'll force a taked down and once he gets in that position man he's a real hard guy to stop once he gets rolling he's like a snowball he just keeps building up on the ground and I think Xiao Long I don't think if he gets taken down he'll be able to get up I think Lee Chang-ho here can TKO him I think he can get him on the feet too his striking is really not too shabby on the feet as well but I think where he excels here is getting the taked down and I think he can get a taked down in TKO xia long in like round one or two”
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MG
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
v Brendson Ribeiro
MONEYLINE
WON
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
v Brendson Ribeiro
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm picking Magomed Gadzhiyasulov for the simple fact that not only can he be exist and fight I think with Brendson Ribeiro I think he's a more technical Striker I think he's a lot more composed Striker but he can also mix in the takedowns very well and I think that could be what SEALs uh Raber's fate in this fight because when Brendson Ribeiro is running in he's throwing these big wild hooks he's going crazy I could see mag just ducking and just going for a double leg straight into brid and rivero's hips because he squares them up sometimes when he's striking um but I also think uh Magomed Gadzhiyasulov can catch him on the feet as well and re when it comes down to it Brendson Ribeiro has been finished like five times out of his six losses I believe I'm going to trust in mag because I think he can just take a shot better if these guys trade punches trade hooks I think the chances of Brendson Ribeiro going down are much higher than Magomed Gadzhiyasulov so I think he's got probably a little bit of a durability Advantage I think he's got a grappling Advantage here and I think he's a more composed Striker obviously Ribero is dangerous in any kind of dog fight early so he's he's susceptible to just bonking uh mad on the head and killing him but I feel like that's a lot lower percent chance of happening than uh Magomed Gadzhiyasulov finishing it so I'm going with Magomed Gadzhiyasulov here I think he'll probably get a TKO win over brids and Ribero”
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KK
Kang Kyung-ho
v Muin Gafurov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Kang Kyung-ho
v Muin Gafurov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“uh guys I'm going with another Underdog here I'm going with Kang Kyung-ho over mu gafarov um I just don't think Muin Gafurov is very good he's got good power and he's got all right striking although I like Kang striking a little bit better he's a little bit straighter in the punches he throws and I think he can take advantage of his 5 inch reach Advantage here he's a pretty accurate guy too he picks his shots pretty well uh he also has a little bit of a takedown it's nothing insane but I think in an exchange where Muin Gafurov maybe is getting a little frustrated trying to get in uh into the pocket against kyong H Kang maybe he can slip in a shot and get muing down if and one thing that kyong hok Kang is really good at is finding the submission he's got real good submissions Muin Gafurov has some good Subs of his own but I think I would favor Kang Kyung-ho on a Jiu-Jitsu match personally um I just see more ways to win for Kang I think he can win a decision I don't think he'll uh TKO gaffo at all but I do think he could submit him”
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RF
Rinat Fakhretdinov
v Nicolas Dalby
MONEYLINE
WON
Rinat Fakhretdinov
v Nicolas Dalby
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going with Rinat Fakhretdinov just because okay I think stylistically ALU zesi dos Santos is a harder matchup for rat F krnov than Nicolas Dalby for the simple fact that zeleski dos Santos if you're a guy who main pBrendson Ribeirogative is to go out there and take down zeleski dos Santos you're gonna have a really [ __ ] hard time like zaleski's takedown defense and his grappling defense is really really really good um Nicolas Dalby not as good I think that's the separator for me is that their grappling defense uh are different because Nicolas Dalby he's got good volume he's got infinite cardio he's got a good Pace as well he can put it on you but I feel like renette fov will be able to get the takedown and stop Doby's pressure and his pace and nullify what makes Nicholas do be so effective and I think once Rinat Fakhretdinov gets a takedown I think he's just gonna smush him I think he's just going to lay lay and pray baby I don't think he's going to try and jump for a submission I think he'll probably he'll probably throw some ground and pound but I think largely he's just going to try and positionally control Nicolas Dalby uh and I think he'll largely be able to do that for at least the first two rounds in this fight maybe Dolby Comes live starts to put it on for kretov in the third but I think F kretov can Bank two two early rounds here against Nicholas Doby because I think he'll be able to get him to the ground I think he'll be able to hold him there so I'm going to go with a fov decision here”
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FL
Felipe Lima
v Muhammad Naimov
MONEYLINE
WON
Felipe Lima
v Muhammad Naimov
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm picking Felipe Lima um for the simple fact that I think just outright he's a better fighter than Mohamad neov um my only problems with with picking Lima against neov is that this fight is on short notice it is is up a weight class and Muhammad Naimov is huge he has big Power and he also cheats a lot so that's my big deal breaker really I because Muhammad Naimov has not impressed me with one fight in his entire UFC tenure the Jamie Malarkey uh was was a he was an underdog but my thing was up until this knockout he was getting he was getting outworked by Jamie Malarkey and losing that fight pretty decisively by my remembrance uh remembrance what the [ __ ] am I talking about um and if you're getting out technique for technique by jimy malarkey I feel like felip lima could do that to you as well now granted he won by knockout he caught Jamie malery but it's Jamie malery um the Nathaniel would fight I mean dude I wonder how much of his [ __ ] purse he paid the referee to not take a point for him cheating 19 times in that fight and then Eric Silva blew out his leg like I don't know if he beats Felipe Lima I'm officially on the neem is actually really good train I think Felipe Lima is just a better fighter technically his striking is much better I think technically everywhere he's better but I do I could see him easily getting size bullied by muhamad neov I almost want to change my pick to neov just because I feel like he'll size MOG Lima badly but I'm going to trust my initial gut reaction to this fight being made and I'm going to go with FIP Lima I think he'll win decision here”
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NH
Nasrat Haqparast
v Jared Gordon
MONEYLINE
WON
Nasrat Haqparast
v Jared Gordon
MONEYLINE
WON
“guys I'm going with nazat hack press here because I think he's just a better boxer he's much faster I think he's got more power Jared Gordon his way to win this fight I think is to mix in a takedown and push hack prast Up Against the Cage maybe work a clinch against him my thing is in the in between of those two scenarios between shooting a takedown and clinching Up Against the Cage I think Nazar hack press is just going to be landing too many shots on Jared Gordon uh in those in between moments and I think Nazar hack prast is actually probably gonna get a TKO wi over Jared Gordon late in like round two or three”
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SM
Sharabutdin Magomedov
v Antonio Trócoli
MONEYLINE
WON
“guys I'm going with Shabu Magomed GadzhiyasuloAlexander Volkov here but I think joyon lutterbach is uh is actually a pretty good fighter very diverse set of finishes uh pretty much an even 50-50 split between TKO and submissions and he's got about 14 tko's 13 Subs yeah this guy's pretty goddamn good I think this is a pretty good test for shaben Magomed GadzhiyasuloAlexander Volkov but one thing about lutterbach that I noticed watching someone his fights is his high guard is very low and that's a very dangerous game to play uh against a guy with such diverse kicks like Magomed GadzhiyasuloAlexander Volkov and who kicks so quickly um I think although lutterbach is a good kickboxer I think Magomed GadzhiyasuloAlexander Volkov is the better Striker um and though lutterbach does have a lot of submissions his ability to get the fight to the ground like his take Downs are not quite so good um I think I think this is magam meda's fight to lose here I think although lutterbach is really good I think this is a winnable matchup for shabot and magam medov here because lunok does have some tendencies that I think magam medov can take advantage of um and I don't think lutterbach will be able to get him to the ground so easily I could be wrong cuz magam meda's takedown defense looked like nothing against Bruno Silva but I'm I think he'll be able to find a head kick here against joytton lutterbach in like rounds two or three I think he'll be able to find the shot and time it through lok's high guard and TKO him and like rounds two or three”
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KG
Kelvin Gastelum
v Daniel Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
WON
Kelvin Gastelum
v Daniel Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
WON
“guys I'm going with gastam um Daniel Rodriguez he's coming off of three losses I'm counting the lead Jing leang loss you lost that fight Daniel uh I'm going with gastam here I think he's just I think he's faster I think he's fought a much higher level of competition I think he operates at a higher level of competition and he's done that for a longer time than Daniel Rodriguez like Daniel Rodriguez is getting subbed by Neil Magny like I just I don't think he's beating Kelvin Gastelum I think gastam is better in the grappling if he so chooses to shoot a takedown I think he's better in the Striking or at least he will be against this 37y old version of drod coming off of a few losses um and a long layoff as well I'm pretty sure he popped for a a tainted supplement or something like that and I think Kelvin Gastelum is going to be hyper motivated in this matchup because this is a matchup that he should win this is a striker V Striker and Kelvin Gastelum has fought for belts you know what I mean he should he should be feeling the weight of the world is on his shoulders cuz it is this is his fight to lose here he should win against Daniel Rodriguez I'm going with Kelvin Gastelum by decision here in this match up”
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AV
Alexander Volkov
v Sergei Pavlovich
MONEYLINE
WON
Alexander Volkov
v Sergei Pavlovich
MONEYLINE
WON
“guys I'm so torn on this fight it is not even funny I am such a big Alexander Volkov enjoyer and I do think he can win this fight I really really do I think I think this fight's a 5050 I this fight's so hard for me to pick um [ __ ] dude in the in my previous video my previous recording I picked Alexander Volkov but the more I think about it the more unsure I am I'll break it down I'll break it down simply I'll break down the way both of these guys win the way Sergei Pavlovich wins obviously is by knocking out Alexander Volkov in the first round he he just blitzes forward in straight lines and pushes Alexander Volkov Up Against the Cage Alexander Volkov shells up Sergei Pavlovich finds shots around or through his guard he finishes him pretty cut and dry for pavlovich uh Alexander Volkov on the other hand Alexander Volkov is a guy I think can extend this fight if he fights smart with his kicks his low kicks and defensively Alexander Volkov is a very hard guy to find the chin of uh he's a hard guy to finish too defensively his high guard stays nice and tight especially when he knows the guy he's fighting has [ __ ] nukes for hands um and he pokes very well he pokes out that those long legs throw a te throw kicks to the legs kick to the body push kick stuff like that to keep pavlovich off of him which I feel like he can do and he will do in this fight uh and my theory is I think because pablovich has never been out of the first round in the UFC I think once we extend him out of the first round I think we might see a a drop off in Effectiveness now this is purely a theory on my part but even in the first round of a lot of Serge fights he he defensively he's not super responsible like there are openings to catch him the problem is it's hard because you know if you commit to a shot you know a counter from this [ __ ] Russian Lab experiment is coming straight back at your head um so that's kind of his offense is his defense is what I said uh in my in my previous recording and it largely is Sergey his shot selections pretty much exclusively to the hand uh to the Head uh I don't know if he'll mix it up to the body against Alexander Volkov he would be wise to do it um I don't think he'll shoot a Tak down I don't think he'll throw any leg kicks or any kind of kicks Sergey I think he's just going to head hunt Alexander Volkov and I think if you only head hunt Alexander Volkov I think you're going to have a harder time I also think guys like Cal Gan and guys like Tom Aspen are much harder matchups for Alexander Volkov like when you look at volkov's record like all of the guys that he's fighting here are very stagnant heavyweights guys who don't move super well but all guys that have really big power but when you look a lot of these guys and these are more recent I'm mostly counting the uh I'm talking about swov basically 265 pound Alexander Volkov here a lot of guys who just kind of move very slowly in and out not super Dynamic movement guys they tend to lose to him but guys who are very Dynamic like Tom and gone beat him poic isn't a guy with very Dynamic footwork he is just gonna walk straight into Alexander Volkov and I think the push KCK could keep him off of him and allow Alexander Volkov to maybe find a shot around Serge's kind of loose guard but I don't know guys I see this fight largely as a 5050 either Alexander Volkov extends this fight into the later rounds and probably wins a decision or Sergey Bonks him in the first round and kills him I really don't know I don't know I'm picking Alexander Volkov because I like him and I would like to see him get this win um Sergey probably wins though right Sergey probably wins but I'm picking Alexander Volkov by decision”
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RW
Robert Whittaker
v Ikram Aliskerov
MONEYLINE
WON
Robert Whittaker
v Ikram Aliskerov
MONEYLINE
WON
“let's go guys I'm going with Robert Whittaker he's better everywhere uh Ikram Aliskerov Ikram Aliskerov has no business being in this fight he hasn't beaten anybody good um in his entire career you know splits decision versus Chad hankam one of the worst Fighters I've ever seen TKO by hamzat chamv and he gets Whitaker after beating warley Alves he has no business being in this fight and if he knocks out Robert Whitaker I will [ __ ] cry legitimate tears Robert Whittaker he was prepared for this date he was prepared to a dag standing guy Robert Whittaker is a guy who goes five rounds basically every single fight he's got good cardio his striking is much faster he's much more technical but Robert Whittaker unfortunately is susceptible to being bonked in the [ __ ] head and Ikram Aliskerov malis does have good power he's got very weird striking so I can see a [ __ ] up World a horrible world where he just throws some ugly untechnical ass [ __ ] looping hook and it just obliterates Robert and kills him that would ruin my night but like I feel like if you're picking Ikram Aliskerov you're picking him based off of what you feel like he should be as a fighter not what he is so I'm going with Robert Whittaker I think he's just more technical I think he will out strike aIkram Aliskerov Ikram Aliskerov and I think he will take over this fight as it starts to get later and I think he'll find a TKO win in like the the fourth or fifth round I think late TKO because Alys gra Was preparing for a three- round fight the week before against a tall lanky guy in Antonio Trócoli was just a submission a submission Merchant and now he is fighting one of the greatest middleweights of all time I just feel like you have to pick Whitaker unless some weird fluke [ __ ] happens I trust Rob's takedown defense I trust Rob's submission defense and I I trust him undefeat if only he had a lead chin he would literally be unstoppable but I'm going with Whitaker like late tkl like rounds four or five”
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VO
Volkan Oezdemir
v Johnny Walker
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Volkan Oezdemir
v Johnny Walker
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I I picked a Volkan Oezdemir because he should win younger guy much larger guy more power longer reach but has a mental deficiency uh he his defense is very bad he does a lot of [ __ ] that's really stupid and he has no Chin so Johnny Walker a guy who's very composed very consistent very slow I will point out very slow um he could just catch him and kill him instantly Volkan Oezdemir could do some weird capaa cake could just get caught in the in between and die either one of these guys like on a different day a different guy knocks the other out like it is literally a 5050 fight I don't know I wrote last chance for Volkan Oezdemir on the board because this is the last time I pick him if he loses he should win this fight if he doesn't do anything stupid uh but it's Volkan Oezdemir so probably do something stupid to get bonked over the head by Johnny Walker and get knocked out very cartoonishly uh”
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