UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MP
Mick Parkin
v Mohammed Usman
PROP · DECISION
WON
Mick Parkin
v Mohammed Usman
PROP · DECISION
WON
“my final prediction which is slightly lower than and the weighted predictions is that Mick Parkin has a 59% probability of defeating Mohammed Usman”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.74
Parkin’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RR
Ricardo Ramos
v Julian Erosa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Ricardo Ramos
v Julian Erosa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“my final prediction aligns closely with the weighted models giving Ramos an ever so slightly less confident 62% probability to secure the victory over Julian Erosa”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.67
Ramos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KW
Karl Williams
v Justin Tafa
PROP · DECISION
WON
Karl Williams
v Justin Tafa
PROP · DECISION
WON
“my final prediction is a bit more confident than the weighted models with a 71% probability that Carl Williams will defeat Justin tafa”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.59
Williams’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MJ
Miles Johns
v Cody Gibson
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
Miles Johns
v Cody Gibson
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
“my final prediction is that Miles Johns has a 60% probability of defeating Cody Gibson”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.74
Johns’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted