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Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Namajunas vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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JT
Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
ES
AD
Shahbazyan vs DobsonMain Card · Middleweight
PT
CS
Talbott vs SaaimanMain Card · Bantamweight
YZ
BQ
Zalal vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
FP
LP
Padilla vs PajueloMain Card · Featherweight
TO
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Ogden vs HolobaughPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JE
RR
Erosa vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MJ
CG
Johns vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JE
SN
Errens vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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MR
Zheleznyakova vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AL
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Lima vs SeverinoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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MU
Parkin vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Williams v Tafa
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Williams 10-2
VS
7-5 Tafa
—
height
6'0"
—
weight
266 lb
—
reach
74"
36
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
2.7
strikes landed / min
5.4
48%
striking accuracy
59%
2.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.3
55%
striking defence
55%
4.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
48%
takedown accuracy
43%
100%
takedown defence
52%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Justin Tafa
“decisions Justin Tafa Got The Knockout you this yeah Justin Tafa is gonna [ __ ] knock go Justin Tafa is gonna knock him out in the first round watch this Justin Tafa first round swinging for the fence I know Justin Tafa even in the UFC decision Justin Tafa is going respect Justin Justin Tafa for the win Cameron A.J. Dobson Justin Justin Tafa”
The MMA-Holes picks Justin Tafa
“decisions Justin Tafa Got The Knockout you this yeah Justin Tafa is gonna [ __ ] knock go Justin Tafa is gonna knock him out in the first round watch this Justin Tafa first round swinging for the fence I know Justin Tafa even in the UFC decision Justin Tafa is going respect Justin Justin Tafa for the win Cameron A.J. Dobson Justin Justin Tafa”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'm going to go with Karl Williams”
MMA Prophecy picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'm going to go with Karl Williams”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Justin Tafa
“my official pick and my subscribers official pick is um Justin Taffer”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Justin Tafa
“my official pick and my subscribers official pick is um Justin Taffer”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'm picking Karl Williams to win picking him to win by decision”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'm picking Karl Williams to win picking him to win by decision”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'll take Karl Williams for the grappling based upside”
$1.54
Mayo Media Network picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'll take Karl Williams for the grappling based upside”
$1.54
WP
We Want Picks picks Justin Tafa VALUE
“I do think Justin actually wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Justin Tafa VALUE
“I do think Justin actually wins this fight”
PN
Picks Nation picks Justin Tafa VALUE
“I like him as a dog and I do think he wins Justin Tafa”
$3.20
Picks Nation picks Justin Tafa VALUE
“I like him as a dog and I do think he wins Justin Tafa”
$3.20
TS
The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'm going with Karl Karl Williams over Justin Tafa Tafa”
$1.54
The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I'm going with Karl Karl Williams over Justin Tafa Tafa”
$1.54
TM
The Ten7 MMA picks Karl Williams
“I'm going Karl Williams by decision”
The Ten7 MMA picks Karl Williams
“I'm going Karl Williams by decision”
DG
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I always prefer to take the grappler... with Williams having the huge Edge”
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Karl Williams VALUE
“I always prefer to take the grappler... with Williams having the huge Edge”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Karl Williams VALUE
“Karl Karl Williams being able to implement his wrestling getting this fight down to the mat mixing in multiple takedowns racking up control time and probably getting a decision maybe a late finish”
$1.56
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Karl Williams VALUE
“Karl Karl Williams being able to implement his wrestling getting this fight down to the mat mixing in multiple takedowns racking up control time and probably getting a decision maybe a late finish”
$1.56
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Williams10-2
L
Diniz
Aug '24
W
Tafa
Mar '24
W
Sherman
May '23
W
Brzeski
Mar '23
Tafa7-5
L
Teixeira
Feb '25
L
Williams
Mar '24
W
Lane
Sep '23
W
Porter
Feb '23
W
Hunsucker
Dec '21