Choose a fight to analyse
RN
AR
Namajunas vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
KW
JT
Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
ES
AD
Shahbazyan vs DobsonMain Card · Middleweight
PT
CS
Talbott vs SaaimanMain Card · Bantamweight
YZ
BQ
Zalal vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
FP
LP
Padilla vs PajueloMain Card · Featherweight
TO
KH
Ogden vs HolobaughPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JE
RR
Erosa vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MJ
CG
Johns vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JE
SN
Errens vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DZ
MR
Zheleznyakova vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AL
IS
Lima vs SeverinoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MP
MU
Parkin vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
AR
Namajunas vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
KW
JT
Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
ES
AD
Shahbazyan vs DobsonMain Card · Middleweight
PT
CS
Talbott vs SaaimanMain Card · Bantamweight
YZ
BQ
Zalal vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
FP
LP
Padilla vs PajueloMain Card · Featherweight
TO
KH
Ogden vs HolobaughPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JE
RR
Erosa vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MJ
CG
Johns vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JE
SN
Errens vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DZ
MR
Zheleznyakova vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AL
IS
Lima vs SeverinoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MP
MU
Parkin vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Parkin v Usman
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Parkin 10-0
VS
12-4 Usman
6'4"
height
6'2"
260 lb
weight
244 lb
79"
reach
79"
30
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
3.9
52%
striking accuracy
44%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
58%
striking defence
57%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
41%
takedown accuracy
66%
50%
takedown defence
61%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
2.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LS
Lil Stray picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“I do think that Mick Parkin wins by decision”
Lil Stray picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“I do think that Mick Parkin wins by decision”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I'm going with the underdog plus 120 you hear it here first Mohammed Usman”
$2.20
Cappers Direct picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I'm going with the underdog plus 120 you hear it here first Mohammed Usman”
$2.20
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Mohammed Usman
“[ __ ] it I'Mick Parkin gonna pick Mohammed Usman by decision”
The MMA-Holes picks Mohammed Usman
“[ __ ] it I'Mick Parkin gonna pick Mohammed Usman by decision”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“my picks Mohammed Usman”
MMA Prophecy picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“my picks Mohammed Usman”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Mohammed Usman
“I'm going to go with Mohammed Usman on this one this low confidence pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Mohammed Usman
“I'm going to go with Mohammed Usman on this one this low confidence pick”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Mick Parkin
“my official pick is going to be um mck Mick Parkin”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Mick Parkin
“my official pick is going to be um mck Mick Parkin”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mohammed Usman
“if I had to pick somebody to play for DraftKings I guess I would take Mohammed Usman”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mohammed Usman
“if I had to pick somebody to play for DraftKings I guess I would take Mohammed Usman”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Mick Parkin
“plus first fight is in the heavyweight division Mick Parkin takes on Mohamad Usman”
MMAWeekly.com picks Mick Parkin
“plus first fight is in the heavyweight division Mick Parkin takes on Mohamad Usman”
HB
Home of Bets picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“I thought he was a good number at like minus 145 I wouldn't straight bet parking at minus 150 here but I thought he was a decent parlay piece”
$1.69
Home of Bets picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“I thought he was a good number at like minus 145 I wouldn't straight bet parking at minus 150 here but I thought he was a decent parlay piece”
$1.69
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I'm picking Mohammad Mohammed Usman”
MMA EXPERTS picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I'm picking Mohammad Mohammed Usman”
PN
Picks Nation picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“Mick Parkin should literally be better everywhere it is heavyweights you're going to notice I don't have a bet on Mick Parkin but if I'm looking at the slate and I'm saying who am I confident in in their matchup Mick Parkin is one of them”
Picks Nation picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“Mick Parkin should literally be better everywhere it is heavyweights you're going to notice I don't have a bet on Mick Parkin but if I'm looking at the slate and I'm saying who am I confident in in their matchup Mick Parkin is one of them”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I liked his first fight... he's Kamaru's brother man like he's gonna win man”
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Mohammed Usman VALUE
“I liked his first fight... he's Kamaru's brother man like he's gonna win man”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Parkin10-0
L
Tybura
Mar '25
W
Brzeski
Jul '24
W
Usman
Mar '24
W
Machado
Nov '23
W
Pogues
Jul '23
Usman12-4
W
Abdelwahab
Jun '25
L
Petersen
Jul '24
L
Parkin
Mar '24
W
Collier
Sep '23
W
Pauga
Aug '22