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KW
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Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
ES
AD
Shahbazyan vs DobsonMain Card · Middleweight
PT
CS
Talbott vs SaaimanMain Card · Bantamweight
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BQ
Zalal vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
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Padilla vs PajueloMain Card · Featherweight
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Ogden vs HolobaughPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JE
RR
Erosa vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Johns vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Errens vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Zheleznyakova vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Errens v Nguyen
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Errens 14-6-1
VS
9-2 Nguyen
5'11"
height
5'11"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
73"
reach
73"
31
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Switch
3.3
strikes landed / min
7.2
44%
striking accuracy
40%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
7.4
61%
striking defence
60%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
0%
takedown accuracy
100%
33%
takedown defence
84%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“my pick in this one is Steven Nguyen”
MMA Prophecy picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“my pick in this one is Steven Nguyen”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Steven Nguyen
“my subscribers and I um picked Steven um Guan”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Steven Nguyen
“my subscribers and I um picked Steven um Guan”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Steven Nguyen
“picking newn to win”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Steven Nguyen
“picking newn to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“Steven Nguyen should win this fight I'm very confident in him to win”
We Want Picks picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“Steven Nguyen should win this fight I'm very confident in him to win”
KM
KamiCaze MMA picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm still going to pick Steven Gwen”
KamiCaze MMA picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm still going to pick Steven Gwen”
CM
CHOL MMA picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“I'm going to pick stevenn by decision”
CHOL MMA picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“I'm going to pick stevenn by decision”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm picking him to win but I think he has no grappling upside I I don't think he has much finishing upside”
$1.62
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm picking him to win but I think he has no grappling upside I I don't think he has much finishing upside”
$1.62
EB
ESPN BET picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“Give me Steven Nguyen”
ESPN BET picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“Give me Steven Nguyen”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Jarno Errens
“the pick is stepen win I think he gets a d by decision in that one”
$1.54
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Jarno Errens
“the pick is stepen win I think he gets a d by decision in that one”
$1.54
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Steven Nguyen
“I think that will seeed when put together a better body of work and win this fight on the scorecards”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Steven Nguyen
“I think that will seeed when put together a better body of work and win this fight on the scorecards”
TM
TY MMA picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm going new in this fight”
TY MMA picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm going new in this fight”
NO
NotSoLethal picks Jarno Errens VALUE
“I'm picking Jarno Errens... I'm going with Jarno Errens... I think he's going to win I think he's going to win I'm going with Jarno Errens... I think maybe a decision um I think probably a decision maybe a TKO”
NotSoLethal picks Jarno Errens VALUE
“I'm picking Jarno Errens... I'm going with Jarno Errens... I think he's going to win I think he's going to win I'm going with Jarno Errens... I think maybe a decision um I think probably a decision maybe a TKO”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Errens14-6-1
L
Zalal
Aug '24
W
Nguyen
Mar '24
L
Seung-woo
Aug '23
L
Gomis
Sep '22
Nguyen9-2
W
Yahya
Jul '25
L
Errens
Mar '24