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UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas
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RN AR Namajunas vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight KW JT Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight ES AD Shahbazyan vs DobsonMain Card · Middleweight PT CS Talbott vs SaaimanMain Card · Bantamweight YZ BQ Zalal vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight FP LP Padilla vs PajueloMain Card · Featherweight TO KH Ogden vs HolobaughPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE RR Erosa vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight MJ CG Johns vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE SN Errens vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight DZ MR Zheleznyakova vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AL IS Lima vs SeverinoPreliminary Card · Flyweight MP MU Parkin vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Talbott v Saaiman Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus46 picks · conf 66/99
Talbott 23
23 Saaiman
PFEJST pick Talbott
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Talbott 9-0 VS 9-2 Saaiman
5'10" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 135 lb
70" reach 67"
27 age 25
Switch stance Southpaw
8.4 strikes landed / min 5.3
55% striking accuracy 46%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
51% striking defence 51%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
0% takedown accuracy 28%
90% takedown defence 47%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BB Bout Better picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I'm going to throw a half unit or a full unit on that”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Payton Talbott “my official pick is payon um T”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Payton Talbott VALUE “Talbot's my preferred side I'm going to pick him to win by decision”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Cameron Saaiman “I lean to samon”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I'm definitely taking Payton talbat here”
WP We Want Picks picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I'm going to pick the talet side”
KM KamiCaze MMA picks Cameron Saaiman “I might pick Cameron Simon”
CM CHOL MMA picks Cameron Saaiman “now I'm going with Cameron Saaiman Cameron Saaiman”
CM CHOL MMA picks Payton Talbott “I'm going with Miles Johns reluctantly” $1.71
TS The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Payton Talbott VALUE “so without further Ado Payton Talbott that's my pick”
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Cameron Saaiman “I'm taking tet I'm taking him by decision”
EB ESPN BET picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I like talin here I I know he's a contender series guy he looked good in his last fight” $1.71
Recent form last five, most recent first
Talbott9-0
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Ghemmouri KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Saaiman KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Saaiman9-2
L Wellmaker KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Talbott KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Mitchell KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
W Martinez Decision · R3 Mar '23