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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Padilla v Pajuelo Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus31 picks · conf 54/99
Padilla 21
10 Pajuelo
HPFBSM pick Padilla
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Padilla 16-5 VS 8-2 Pajuelo
6'1" height 5'10"
145 lb weight 145 lb
76" reach 70"
29 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.5 strikes landed / min 6.0
42% striking accuracy 57%
5.2 strikes absorbed / min 8.2
53% striking defence 52%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
0% takedown accuracy 0%
100% takedown defence 66%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Luis Pajuelo “I went with um Luis pelo”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Fernando Padilla VALUE “Fernand EVENT_DETAILSo Luis Pajueloadilla is a slight favorite in this mEVENT_DETAILSch up”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Fernando Padilla VALUE “I'm rolling with Fernando Fernando Padilla at 8.7k” $1.59
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Fernando Padilla “I'm picking Padilla to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Luis Pajuelo VALUE “I actually like Luis poo to win here”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Fernando Padilla VALUE “Fernando Fernando Padilla they're the much better Fighters” $2.60
KM KamiCaze MMA picks Fernando Padilla “I'm going Fernando Padilla by decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Fernando Padilla VALUE “I think Fernando Padilla probably does get the win here probably gets to finish even”
EB ESPN BET picks Luis Pajuelo “I'm Gonna Roll with Padilla here I think he is the better Striker”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Fernando Padilla “I got padila in this spot but just just know this dog is live okay” $1.65
TO The Golden Octagon picks Fernando Padilla VALUE “give me Fernando Padia” $1.57
NM Nubby MMA picks Luis Pajuelo “Luis Pell is going to get this one done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Padilla16-5
L Woodson KO/TKO · R1 Dec '24
W Pajuelo Submission · R1 Mar '24
L Nelson Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Erosa KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
Pajuelo8-2
L Padilla Submission · R1 Mar '24