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UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · breakdown

The Sideline Guys | UFC Hellscape 15,014 Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba

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23 months ago 5W–4L · +0.8u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MU Mohammed Usman v Thomas Petersen MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going with Usman here I think this fight is going to be sloppy as hell and I won't be surprised if we end up in the third round and it's just a [ __ ] gas Fest uh but I like I like Mohamed Usman to come out on top on this one”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.91 close$1.91
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LR Loik Radzhabov v Trey Ogden MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm also going to be going with Loik Radzhabovana Carolina here and honestly I talk myself into wanting to bet this thing”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.90 close$1.91
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
MM Miranda Maverick v Dione Barbosa MONEYLINE WON
“I say Miranda by by decision that's what I have here but I could absolutely see a submission here”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.50
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
CG Cody Gibson v Brian Kelleher MONEYLINE WON
“give me Cody Gibson yeah this one is this one's tough because it it I agree with so much of what you were saying it my problem is with with Brian is that it's you don't really know how he's going to really be we've seen him get hyped up we've seen him face some really worthy opponents and and then you know we've also seen him get knocked out I think his chin has definitely the durability has definitely wavered uh I think we have seen the best of Brian already uh thing about Cody Gibson is that I don't I feel he has decent striking at best I think he could be so good but he's not like there's just something mentally with him that stops him um I've seen Gibson get submitted to bunch of times like if this was a year ago I think I'd pick Keller Keller her by knockout but because you know when it comes to Keller he's such he's a really good strong Striker everyone says that he's got incredible power but it's just a chin durability that really bothers me it's something where I feel like if he gets too close to Gibson something bad is gonna happen like I I don't think Gibson has to be anything spectacular in this fight to be able to clip K her here and I think like I had this one where I was hyping up K her this whole time but watching the film I I just don't like what I see when it comes to the lat later in the fight and I think you don't see much of of Gibson changing his mechanics or who he was throughout from the first round to the end of the third round kind of is that same fighter and he constantly is pushing forward you know he kind of he's always in your face and I think eventually that's going to get Brian clipped um but this is one where I felt really back and forth here because I felt like if this like I said a year ago I think I think ker would have been a much better fighter I think ker probably could have won via knockout or by grounded pound so I don't like what Brian where Brian has been at least in the last 12 months you know like you mentioned with the getting his neck fuse that's that's always a humongous concern um I think his cardio is kind of dog [ __ ] as of late I think his chin is dog [ __ ] and I just see a lot of openings where Gibson can just he might not even have his best fight or even the fight he wanted but he could just Loik Radzhabovand one time and we're talking about a completely different fight so I'm not confident in Gibson because Gibson and and arall like I mentioned before these guys are on the same card every [ __ ] time I can't stand these two always being on same card and you know they're just Ultimate Fighter wash outs to me sometimes when I watch them but I will give Gibson the win here even though and and I I get I get frustrated because you mentioned it where Gibson I felt has the tools to be great or be at least above average to in real almost like a contender in in the rankings but it's just something within himself that stopped him every time and that is it's very frustrating as a fan knowing what the tools that he has and it just doesn't happen on a on a consistent basis and so with his tools I think Gibson gets it done but I'm not confident”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.53
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LJ Lee Jeong-yeong v Hyder Amil MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm picking Loik Radzhabovee I think this is another one for me where this is probably my second or third lock of of the uh of the evening because this is one where I just it really it really annoys me on how little a does when it comes to rounds two and three”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.53
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
CD Choi Doo-ho v Bill Algeo MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going with Choi Doo-ho here I think he is the most potent Fighter um on this card”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.45 close$2.45
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
BS Bruno Gustavo da Silva v Cody Durden MONEYLINE WON
“Give me Bruno Gustavo da Bruno Gustavo da Silva”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.65 close$2.65
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
KK Kaynan Kruschewsky v Kurt Holobaugh MONEYLINE LOST
“I will say Kaynan Kruschewsky shout out power uh has a better striking here I think he's more high level in the MU Thai I think there are times especially in the brener fight where he looked pretty [ __ ] dumb like I I was I don't know I I did not like his his strategy and fight whatsoever he's got long like loopy type of like elusive attacks that I don't think work well in a higher level EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS but uh uh for holo I just don't think especially on paper that his striking is going to match up at all to Kaynan Kruschewsky here and then I think both are pretty decent when it comes to the wrestling here I think this is one where Kane is gonna be a lot more offensive while Kurt's going to try to push forward early but kind of be on the back foot for the rest of the fight um I really don't see where the grappling exchang is going to be dangerous for suon like Kaynan Kruschewsky I could see him more going the other way and obviously I think Kaynan Kruschewsky has way better cardio I've seen howo have some pretty uh struggling times early in his EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS career uh even in The Ultimate Fighter he had uh I don't remember the second fight I don't remember which one it was maybe his first one where he struggled um and I just I have not gotone to the point where I believe in either these two guys but more and Kurt I think this is one where this might be Kurt's last fight in EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS to be quite honest I don't know what his contract is but uh I have not seen it from Kurt where where I wanted to eat my words I almost feel like I'm 75% right of what I saw on the ultimate fighter that when he came back I wasn't like wow he's the [ __ ] dude he totally different guy like I never I I didn't have that moment and uh I think honestly to me I'm I'm going Kaynan Kruschewsky via knout that's what I have in my notes Here I think Kan in Via second round knockout that's what I have”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.77 close$1.77
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
SG Steve Garcia v Choi Seung-woo MONEYLINE WON
“I pick Garcia to win I think this the only thing that matters in this fight is they're both going to try to knock each other's heads off I think they both are really good at dealing damage I I think both are very strong at trying to put each other's lights out are pretty pretty quick on the feet can make you fight their fight I know I've said that like two or three times already um I don't think cardio or wrestling grappling is really going to be a factor at all and this is one where it's just going to be EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS boxing um to me I pick Garcia to win because I think how he responds in like chaotic situations and chaotic fighting is what like his bread and butter as of waight as what I've seen from him like he like when it comes down to just trying to either I'm going down or you're going down the max hollow point at the grounds type fighting I it's almost like Garcia loves that like he's down he doesn't fear getting you know going to sleep at all like he's just going there to survive that chaotic situation as long as he can also put you in the chaotic situation at the same moment and I think both can absorb strikes really well both not as great as they once were and I think for me I think Garcia will be able to handle Choice power and I think Garcia is g to be full hands on deck trying to murder that man just like it's gonna be coming back to him I think both are going to get tagged up but I think by the end of round two I'd be very surprised if the fight's still happening this fight feels to me like a five minute fight um I am picking Garcia via knockout probably performance of the night going his way”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.68
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)