UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · breakdown
UFC Sao Paulo Betting Preview | Headlined by Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis | First Strike Oct 31
VS
VSiN54% hit
32 months ago
4W–7L · +0.9u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DL
Derrick Lewis
v Jailton Almeida
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Derrick Lewis
v Jailton Almeida
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“drick Lewis via KO because I just can't see any possible way that this hits five round decision and Derrick Lewis could win it”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$5.10
→
close$5.20
Lewis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.80
MD
Marc Diakiese
v Kauê Fernandes
MONEYLINE
WON
Marc Diakiese
v Kauê Fernandes
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think he should be he has a wealth of experience”
Line since pick
CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.74
→
close$1.61
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
KF
Kauê Fernandes
v Marc Diakiese
MONEYLINE
LOST
Kauê Fernandes
v Marc Diakiese
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think it's recency bias too obviously he took a a pretty difficult loss and hasn't looked great but I think that that's where he's he's got the advantage”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.65
entry: TwinSpires · best in any region at publish
DG
Denise Gomes
v Angela Hill
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Denise Gomes
v Angela Hill
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“she's got power uh you know and she's obviously been a spark plug she's showcased that her last couple of appearances”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.83
→
close$1.80
Gomes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$5.55
→
close$5.60
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
JA
Jailton Almeida
v Derrick Lewis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Jailton Almeida
v Derrick Lewis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“it's ala inside the distance probably in round one via submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.21
Almeida’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.91
GB
Gabriel Bonfim
v Nicolas Dalby
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gabriel Bonfim
v Nicolas Dalby
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I am mostly just excited to see bonf get a step up in competition”
Line since pick
CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.28
→
close$1.18
entry: TwinSpires · best in any region at publish
AH
Angela Hill
v Denise Gomes
MONEYLINE
WON
Angela Hill
v Denise Gomes
MONEYLINE
WON
“Angela Angela Hill is plus money and I can't believe Angela Angela Hill is plus money”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$2.17
→
close$2.30
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AM
Abusupiyan Magomedov
v Caio Borralho
MONEYLINE
LOST
Abusupiyan Magomedov
v Caio Borralho
MONEYLINE
LOST
“there's obviously danger in the power right aboose meam medov”
Line since pick
CLV +10%
◆ entry$3.95
→
close$3.60
entry: TwinSpires · best in any region at publish
CB
Caio Borralho
v Abusupiyan Magomedov
MONEYLINE
WON
Caio Borralho
v Abusupiyan Magomedov
MONEYLINE
WON
“I tend to think he's closer to the best and I think he's a bad matchup for megamed off”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.36
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
DM
Don'Tale Mayes
v Rodrigo Nascimento
MONEYLINE
LOST
Don'Tale Mayes
v Rodrigo Nascimento
MONEYLINE
LOST
“at plus money if you're getting plus 150 plus 160 even maybe even a knockout prop at a even higher price um I think there's some value there”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.70
entry: TwinSpires · best in any region at publish