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UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · breakdown

UFC 313 | Best Bets | Pereira vs. Ankalaev

EM EZ Money MMA
16 months ago 3W–1L · +0.2u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MR Maurício Ruffy v King Green MONEYLINE WON
“2.5 units on Maurício Ruffy will be the first bet I feel like his last performance was still really nice even though it got really competitive after he couldn't KO James in the first round he kind of looked like he started to struggle a little bit but then he still landed some really sick shots the technique looked really good the timing looked really good the Striking technique was there and I feel like King Green with a chin issue is going to run into problems with dealing with a style like Maurício Ruffy isn't a good match up for King Green I actually see this play out very similar to a Jalin Turner fight pretty confident with his bet”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22 close$1.24
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
CL Carlos Leal v Alex Morono MONEYLINE WON
“two units on Carlos Leall feels very comfortable right now I got him in at minus 425 now he's at -600 since the time I played Maurício Ruffy was also at - 360 he's at -500 right now I think at this point you can parlay them together and make it a three-unit bet”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.14 close$1.14
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
IB Ignacio Bahamondes v Jalin Turner MONEYLINE WON
“the next bet I'm looking at is Ignacio Bahamondes I feel like this a I really like baham mandz momentum Jalin Turner is a very a good Striker as well but I just feel like Ignacio Bahamondes I see the improvements that he's making every single fight while Jalin Turner at a lot of point he's a he's a weight bully and he didn't look good at a lot of moments I actually question his mindset I feel like Ignacio Bahamondes is on a very good momentum right now I'm actually thinking that at even money there's actually some value there so I'm dropping one unit on baham mandz right now feel really good about this position”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.81 close$1.83
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
AP Alex Pereira v Magomed Ankalaev MONEYLINE LOST
“last one for this week is Alex Pereira so he's finding an even though we haven't seen Alex tested in his wrestling and grappling really since he hasn't been fighting opponents with elite wrestling and grappling but I do think trading with Glover for all these years I do think he's not going to be I don't think he's going to be submitted by Magomed Ankalaev and I feel like if you're going to stand on the feet with Alex if you can't dominate him with grappling and wrestling I don't believe anyone can beat him on the feet the power he can generate from his left hook just doesn't make sense like guys who going to stand and trade with him I'm always going to pick Alex to win but Magomed Ankalaev is very dangerous he Southpaw which is kind of counter his left hook in a way makes it much harder to land that and has a very good wrestling grappling base definitely one of the best wrestlers and Grapplers in the weight division probably the guy who has the highest chance to be able to beat Alex in the entire division this is purely a theory play I feel like he can defend a takedown even though he hasn't shown us yet yet I do believe that Alex will be able to beat him cuz he's much more dangerous so I'm willing to drop a 0.5 unit on Alex at even money odds”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.96 close$1.95
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish