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Ruffy vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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RF
Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
IB
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Bahamondes vs TurnerMain Card · Lightweight
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Lemos vs LucindoMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Ruffy vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
JV
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Van vs TsuruyaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BF
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Ferreira vs PetrosyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CL
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Leal vs MoronoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Diaz vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Green
over Ruffy · Lightweight
Our fair value$5.12
pays above fair
$5.50
Best prices · Green
FanDuel · US
$5.50
Paddy Power · UK
$5.00
Pinnacle · EU
$5.20
SportsBet · AU
$5.50
Where to back Green
best price · region · EV vs fair $5.12
US
FanDuel
$5.50
+8%
FanDuel
$5.50
+8%
UK
Paddy Power
$5.00
-2%
Paddy Power
$5.00
-2%
EU
Pinnacle
$5.20
+2%
Pinnacle
$5.20
+2%
AU
SportsBet
$5.50
+8%
SportsBet
$5.50
+8%
How it endsmethod calls · Green · crowd line
KO/TKO
7
$10.24
Decision
6
$11.94
None
1
$71.66
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ruffy 13-2
VS
34-17-1 Green
5'11"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
75"
reach
71"
30
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
6.4
49%
striking accuracy
53%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
49%
striking defence
62%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
30%
takedown accuracy
39%
69%
takedown defence
74%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market20% vs 18%
Consensus19 of 83 analysts
Sharpest angleGreen by KO/TKO — 7 of 14 method calls
Recommendation
Back Green @ $5.50 · fair $5.12
+8% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BG
Bradley Gleason picks Maurício Ruffy
“I don't see King Green really I really don't love this match up I really don't love this matchup it's a weird one I kind of see him getting ko'ed yeah”
Bradley Gleason picks Maurício Ruffy
“I don't see King Green really I really don't love this match up I really don't love this matchup it's a weird one I kind of see him getting ko'ed yeah”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks King Green VALUE
“I think an ANL can win this fight... they got the part of the going to stick it out to the best game plan possible”
Capitán Rafucho picks King Green VALUE
“I think an ANL can win this fight... they got the part of the going to stick it out to the best game plan possible”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I have NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green but this does not strike me Maurício Ruffy is going to be a whirlwind here and for King Green but uh we will see how ideally um but King Green likes to be these throw power King Green could have success in NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green out of there um if he throws think just I think as NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green gets wrong about that maybe King Green does have against a guy like King Green who can pile on with facing a guy like Maurício Ruffy is I mean if actually prefer King Green as the DFS be interesting King Green is uh a high volume King Green yeah yeah um you know a lot of uh I got to take Maurício Ruffy and uh the main card as well”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I have NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green but this does not strike me Maurício Ruffy is going to be a whirlwind here and for King Green but uh we will see how ideally um but King Green likes to be these throw power King Green could have success in NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green out of there um if he throws think just I think as NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 King Green gets wrong about that maybe King Green does have against a guy like King Green who can pile on with facing a guy like Maurício Ruffy is I mean if actually prefer King Green as the DFS be interesting King Green is uh a high volume King Green yeah yeah um you know a lot of uh I got to take Maurício Ruffy and uh the main card as well”
MD
mdminds picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Minus 500 is the line for money line for Maurício Ruffy.”
mdminds picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Minus 500 is the line for money line for Maurício Ruffy.”
MD
mdminds picks King Green VALUE
“I can see King Green maybe going over either going the distance or at least over two rounds.”
mdminds picks King Green VALUE
“I can see King Green maybe going over either going the distance or at least over two rounds.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'll go Maurício Ruffy by decision”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'll go Maurício Ruffy by decision”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I just think Maurício Ruffy has a really good shot at a finish in this fight”
etoft21 sports picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I just think Maurício Ruffy has a really good shot at a finish in this fight”
ES
etoft21 sports picks King Green VALUE
“I like it my grapples striking adjustments King Green and knocking him out”
etoft21 sports picks King Green VALUE
“I like it my grapples striking adjustments King Green and knocking him out”
EB
ESPN BET picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“giveing Maurício Ruffy to win in over one and a half rounds”
$2.00
ESPN BET picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“giveing Maurício Ruffy to win in over one and a half rounds”
$2.00
CM
Cyclone MMA picks King Green VALUE
“I like the Alex morono by decision bet ... I like Carlos Leal”
Cyclone MMA picks King Green VALUE
“I like the Alex morono by decision bet ... I like Carlos Leal”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy is gonna knock him out”
Cyclone MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy is gonna knock him out”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I'm goingon to go with ank elath um but I don't think I'm nearly as coner is you super excited for this fight though again one of the highest level matchups”
Dynes Sports picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I'm goingon to go with ank elath um but I don't think I'm nearly as coner is you super excited for this fight though again one of the highest level matchups”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ruffy13-2
W
Chandler
Jun '26
W
Fiziev
Feb '26
L
Denis
Sep '25
W
Green
Mar '25
W
Llontop
Nov '24
Green34-17-1
W
Stephens
May '26
W
Zellhuber
Feb '26
W
Jr.
Dec '25
L
Ruffy
Mar '25
L
Pimblett
Jul '24