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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ribeiro dos Santos v Diaz
Middleweight
Our fair value
$1.65
best price —
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Ribeiro dos Santos
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.65
No regional prices quoted for this fight yet.
How it endsmethod calls · Ribeiro dos Santos · crowd line
KO/TKO
16
$2.37
Decision
6
$6.31
None
1
$37.85
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Diaz 9-3
VS
20-11-2 Ribeiro dos Santos
6'4"
height
5'9"
185 lb
weight
175 lb
79"
reach
63"
35
age
—
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.2
strikes landed / min
2.2
43%
striking accuracy
36%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
46%
striking defence
75%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
0%
takedown accuracy
36%
0%
takedown defence
59%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Consensus28 of 46 analysts
Sharpest angleRibeiro dos Santos by KO/TKO — 16 of 23 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“making a pick Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos all day Dave”
$1.53
Capper Comparison Picks picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“making a pick Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos all day Dave”
$1.53
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“I'm going to stick with a Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos man”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“I'm going to stick with a Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos man”
KU
Kunath picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“Ozzy Ozzy Diaz is super interesting this week I think people will get here just because of the finishing upside I think the sharper the contest meaning like the higher the the entry fee the more you're going to see people play aie Ozzy Diaz just because if he does win it's probably going to be a knockout it's probably going to be in the first round 7500 I think he probably comes comes in around like 22 to 25% owned in most contests but I think aie Ozzy Diaz is a solid play this week”
Kunath picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“Ozzy Ozzy Diaz is super interesting this week I think people will get here just because of the finishing upside I think the sharper the contest meaning like the higher the the entry fee the more you're going to see people play aie Ozzy Diaz just because if he does win it's probably going to be a knockout it's probably going to be in the first round 7500 I think he probably comes comes in around like 22 to 25% owned in most contests but I think aie Ozzy Diaz is a solid play this week”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“I'm okay with laying the roughly minus two to one on Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“I'm okay with laying the roughly minus two to one on Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“my most confident is when to throw them all together in the pilot slash accumulator for my UK peeps ctis NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 Callos Le Marcio NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 and Bruno Ferrero those four hell confident if they don't win they should retire”
MMA Prophecy picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“my most confident is when to throw them all together in the pilot slash accumulator for my UK peeps ctis NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 Callos Le Marcio NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 and Bruno Ferrero those four hell confident if they don't win they should retire”
LE
Lepresident picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
“he's going to be the pick he's the person I've going for the pick”
Lepresident picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
“he's going to be the pick he's the person I've going for the pick”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“so I am picking Ozzy Diaz in this fight because I have not been very high on Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos”
$2.57
MMA EXPERTS picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“so I am picking Ozzy Diaz in this fight because I have not been very high on Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos”
$2.57
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos great Grappler technical striking likes to push the pace”
Bloody Water Podcast picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos great Grappler technical striking likes to push the pace”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Ozzy Diaz
“Ozzy Diaz versus Jordan Santos right if you don't know any of these names”
Bloody Water Podcast picks Ozzy Diaz
“Ozzy Diaz versus Jordan Santos right if you don't know any of these names”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“I'm going to go with Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos younger dude I don't think Ozzy Diaz is good at all seven out of 10 on the confidence but I I don't know what the odds are for this it didn't show up I'm going to look Jordan santz is minus 200 I guess I'm with the crowd here um”
$1.50
FATALITY MMA picks Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos VALUE
“I'm going to go with Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos younger dude I don't think Ozzy Diaz is good at all seven out of 10 on the confidence but I I don't know what the odds are for this it didn't show up I'm going to look Jordan santz is minus 200 I guess I'm with the crowd here um”
$1.50
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Diaz9-3
W
Santos
Mar '25
L
Mingyang
Nov '24
Ribeiro dos Santos20-11-2
W
Barlow
Oct '25
L
Diaz
Mar '25