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Lemos vs LucindoMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Lucindo v Lemos
Women'S Strawweight
Our fair value
$1.76
best price $1.77
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Lucindo
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.76
US
Caesars
$1.77
+0%
Caesars
$1.77
+0%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.73
-2%
Paddy Power
$1.73
-2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.77
+0%
Pinnacle
$1.77
+0%
AU
PlayUp
$1.75
-1%
PlayUp
$1.75
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Lucindo · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$49.41
Submission
2
$24.71
Decision
25
$1.98
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lemos 15-5-1
VS
17-5 Lucindo
5'4"
height
5'3"
115 lb
weight
115 lb
65"
reach
66"
39
age
24
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
3.5
35%
striking accuracy
45%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
61%
striking defence
66%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.4
38%
takedown accuracy
57%
59%
takedown defence
66%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 56%
Consensus46 of 79 analysts
Sharpest angleLucindo by Decision — 25 of 28 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I think that between for like the duration of the woman's Tri weight I mean she could have like the highest level that's really possible”
Capitán Rafucho picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I think that between for like the duration of the woman's Tri weight I mean she could have like the highest level that's really possible”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Iasmin Lucindo
“uh Iasmin Lucindo money line”
Greedo Plays picks Iasmin Lucindo
“uh Iasmin Lucindo money line”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Iasmin Lucindo
“I'm gonna go with the younger girl Iasmin Lucindo by younger girl Iasmin Lucindo by younger girl Iasmin Lucindo by decision for real I mean get sour gross sour and gross we'll go with uh I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo with uh I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo with uh I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo what is she minus 115 or something oh I too I'm also gonna go with the fresher milk I'm gonna go with Iasmin Lucindo did you milk I'm gonna go with Iasmin Lucindo did you just say the fresher what they're doing this is easy give me Iasmin Lucindo I might have to do a a prop them Iasmin Lucindo I might have to do a a prop them Iasmin Lucindo I might have to do a a prop them up parlay or is but not well I don't care her only loss is to Iasmin Lucindo who was at the time loss is to Iasmin Lucindo who was at the time loss is to Iasmin Lucindo who was at the time undefeated two and a half years Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here uh on the ground Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here uh on the ground taked down average 0.90 versus taked down average 0.90 versus 2.40 heavy Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here um 2.40 heavy Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here um 2.40 heavy Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here um taked down accuracy 63 57 defense 61 parlay but holy [ __ ] do I want to put some money on Iasmin Lucindo here because uh some money on Iasmin Lucindo here because uh some money on Iasmin Lucindo here because uh Lemos is got experience but [ __ ] one minus 138 I'm putting money on Iasmin Lucindo here and”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Iasmin Lucindo
“I'm gonna go with the younger girl Iasmin Lucindo by younger girl Iasmin Lucindo by younger girl Iasmin Lucindo by decision for real I mean get sour gross sour and gross we'll go with uh I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo with uh I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo with uh I'm going with Iasmin Lucindo what is she minus 115 or something oh I too I'm also gonna go with the fresher milk I'm gonna go with Iasmin Lucindo did you milk I'm gonna go with Iasmin Lucindo did you just say the fresher what they're doing this is easy give me Iasmin Lucindo I might have to do a a prop them Iasmin Lucindo I might have to do a a prop them Iasmin Lucindo I might have to do a a prop them up parlay or is but not well I don't care her only loss is to Iasmin Lucindo who was at the time loss is to Iasmin Lucindo who was at the time loss is to Iasmin Lucindo who was at the time undefeated two and a half years Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here uh on the ground Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here uh on the ground taked down average 0.90 versus taked down average 0.90 versus 2.40 heavy Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here um 2.40 heavy Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here um 2.40 heavy Advantage Iasmin Lucindo here um taked down accuracy 63 57 defense 61 parlay but holy [ __ ] do I want to put some money on Iasmin Lucindo here because uh some money on Iasmin Lucindo here because uh some money on Iasmin Lucindo here because uh Lemos is got experience but [ __ ] one minus 138 I'm putting money on Iasmin Lucindo here and”
KU
Kunath picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“Amanda Lemos definitely somebody who's got to be in value play consideration I think she has early finishing upside here despite not scoring a whole lot of points recently I do think at 7700 she goes a little under the radar”
Kunath picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“Amanda Lemos definitely somebody who's got to be in value play consideration I think she has early finishing upside here despite not scoring a whole lot of points recently I do think at 7700 she goes a little under the radar”
MD
MMA Dublado picks Amanda Lemos
“the official wait for Amanda Lemos contender Iasmin Lucindo”
MMA Dublado picks Amanda Lemos
“the official wait for Amanda Lemos contender Iasmin Lucindo”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I'm I going with Amanda Lemos for that reason”
Cyclone MMA picks Amanda Lemos VALUE
“I'm I going with Amanda Lemos for that reason”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE
“Iasmin Lucindo taps him”
Cyclone MMA picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE
“Iasmin Lucindo taps him”
PA
PattyMMA picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm just going to assume we're going to get one that she doesn't suck and she actually looks like she knows how to throw a punch and she's going to beat Iasmin Lucindo I just think yasmin's a little too young not much experience in the UFC at least a lot of exper more experience than than Amanda Lemos but she's just older she was more used to being at the top and feel like we see a lot of these female Fighters get close to getting to the top and then out of nowhere they just look [__] stupid so um I'm going go with Amanda Lemos Lemos on this one and she's okay Underdog I I got her uh decision probably”
PattyMMA picks Amanda Lemos
“I'm just going to assume we're going to get one that she doesn't suck and she actually looks like she knows how to throw a punch and she's going to beat Iasmin Lucindo I just think yasmin's a little too young not much experience in the UFC at least a lot of exper more experience than than Amanda Lemos but she's just older she was more used to being at the top and feel like we see a lot of these female Fighters get close to getting to the top and then out of nowhere they just look [__] stupid so um I'm going go with Amanda Lemos Lemos on this one and she's okay Underdog I I got her uh decision probably”
MB
Michael Bisping picks Iasmin Lucindo
“she's going to be too much for Amanda Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos Iasmin Lucindo lucindo keep an eye on that one”
Michael Bisping picks Iasmin Lucindo
“she's going to be too much for Amanda Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos Iasmin Lucindo lucindo keep an eye on that one”
AM
AA MMA picks Iasmin Lucindo
“I'm going say Iasmin Lucindo is going to get it done simple as that”
AA MMA picks Iasmin Lucindo
“I'm going say Iasmin Lucindo is going to get it done simple as that”
JO
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Amanda Lemos
“I think Amanda Lemos is winning that fight”
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Amanda Lemos
“I think Amanda Lemos is winning that fight”
TP
The Untouchaballs Podcast picks Amanda Lemos
“we take you know the favorite here once again Kaden to ride to get this done”
$1.74
The Untouchaballs Podcast picks Amanda Lemos
“we take you know the favorite here once again Kaden to ride to get this done”
$1.74
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lemos15-5-1
L
Robertson
Mar '26
L
Suarez
Sep '25
W
Lucindo
Mar '25
L
Jandiroba
Jul '24
W
Dern
Feb '24
Lucindo17-5
W
Hill
Aug '25
L
Lemos
Mar '25
W
Rodriguez
Oct '24
W
Kowalkiewicz
May '24
W
Viana
Aug '23