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AP
Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
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Bahamondes vs TurnerMain Card · Lightweight
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Lemos vs LucindoMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
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Ruffy vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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RT
Van vs TsuruyaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BF
AP
Ferreira vs PetrosyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Leal vs MoronoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Santos vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Diaz vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
AP
Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JG
RF
Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
IB
JT
Bahamondes vs TurnerMain Card · Lightweight
AL
IL
Lemos vs LucindoMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
KG
Ruffy vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
JV
RT
Van vs TsuruyaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BF
AP
Ferreira vs PetrosyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CL
AM
Leal vs MoronoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MS
FM
Santos vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight
OD
DS
Diaz vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Van
over Tsuruya · Flyweight
Our fair value$1.45
pays above fair
$1.67
Best prices · Van
BetOnline.ag · US
$1.67
Grosvenor · UK
$1.63
Pinnacle · EU
$1.67
TABtouch · AU
$1.63
Where to back Van
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.45
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.67
+15%
BetOnline.ag
$1.67
+15%
UK
Grosvenor
$1.63
+12%
Grosvenor
$1.63
+12%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.67
+15%
Pinnacle
$1.67
+15%
AU
TABtouch
$1.63
+12%
TABtouch
$1.63
+12%
How it endsmethod calls · Van · crowd line
KO/TKO
10
$5.24
Decision
25
$2.09
None
1
$52.36
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Van 16-2
VS
10-1 Tsuruya
5'5"
height
5'6"
124 lb
weight
125 lb
65"
reach
68"
24
age
24
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
8.4
strikes landed / min
2.3
53%
striking accuracy
60%
6.1
strikes absorbed / min
1.3
58%
striking defence
46%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
5.5
63%
takedown accuracy
50%
83%
takedown defence
50%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
2.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 60%
Consensus56 of 65 analysts
Sharpest angleVan by Decision — 25 of 36 method calls
Recommendation
Back Van @ $1.67 · fair $1.45
+15% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Joshua Van VALUE
“Joshua Van is my lock”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Joshua Van VALUE
“Joshua Van is my lock”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“let's go Rei Tsuruya”
etoft21 sports picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“let's go Rei Tsuruya”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Joshua Van
“this going to be one of the greatest matchups between prospects we've ever seen”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Joshua Van
“this going to be one of the greatest matchups between prospects we've ever seen”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Joshua Van
“yo siento que Joshua Van va a salir con la victoria”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Joshua Van
“yo siento que Joshua Van va a salir con la victoria”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I'm fully on the Joshua Joshua Van TR ... I want to see this guy start climbing the ranks”
Cyclone MMA picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I'm fully on the Joshua Joshua Van TR ... I want to see this guy start climbing the ranks”
PA
PattyMMA picks Joshua Van
“I think Joshua Van's gonna pull this off um it's just the pressure might be a little bit too much for him and I just like Joshua Van so I'm gonna pick him”
PattyMMA picks Joshua Van
“I think Joshua Van's gonna pull this off um it's just the pressure might be a little bit too much for him and I just like Joshua Van so I'm gonna pick him”
AM
AA MMA picks Rei Tsuruya
“I'm going to put my money on Rei Tsuruya simply on the fact that Joshua van is kind of chinny”
AA MMA picks Rei Tsuruya
“I'm going to put my money on Rei Tsuruya simply on the fact that Joshua van is kind of chinny”
JO
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Joshua Van
“I think you have to go for Joshua Van to get this one done... I think it would be a UD for Joshua Van”
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Joshua Van
“I think you have to go for Joshua Van to get this one done... I think it would be a UD for Joshua Van”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“if I really really had to take the money line side at the price it would probably be Rei Tsuruya”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Rei Tsuruya VALUE
“if I really really had to take the money line side at the price it would probably be Rei Tsuruya”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I say's better he's better allr rounded he just lacks in the ground game compared to Sera he should win but punch % confidence Blaze Le NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 and Ferrero 90% gutier is 80% NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 I'll say that they're moving down 70% confidence you should win is Yasmin lucindo should get the job done and then Bak Mendes I like Pereira I like and then NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Mairon Santos should win VI is my least confident I'm just going to watch that fight enjoy that f”
MMA Prophecy picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I say's better he's better allr rounded he just lacks in the ground game compared to Sera he should win but punch % confidence Blaze Le NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 and Ferrero 90% gutier is 80% NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 I'll say that they're moving down 70% confidence you should win is Yasmin lucindo should get the job done and then Bak Mendes I like Pereira I like and then NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Mairon Santos should win VI is my least confident I'm just going to watch that fight enjoy that f”
WP
We Want Picks picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I think that John castan a sexy Mexi is going to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Joshua Van VALUE
“I think that John castan a sexy Mexi is going to win this fight”
LE
Lepresident picks Rei Tsuruya
“I'm going to go with Joshua van”
Lepresident picks Rei Tsuruya
“I'm going to go with Joshua van”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Van16-2
W
Taira
May '26
W
Pantoja
Dec '25
W
Royval
Jun '25
W
Silva
Jun '25
W
Tsuruya
Mar '25
Tsuruya10-1
W
Gurule
May '26
L
Van
Mar '25
W
Hernandez
Jun '24