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Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Leal vs MoronoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Diaz vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
AP
Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JG
RF
Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
IB
JT
Bahamondes vs TurnerMain Card · Lightweight
AL
IL
Lemos vs LucindoMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
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Ruffy vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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RT
Van vs TsuruyaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BF
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Ferreira vs PetrosyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CL
AM
Leal vs MoronoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MS
FM
Santos vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight
OD
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Diaz vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Morono
over Leal · Welterweight
Our fair value$6.08
pays above fair
$6.95
Best prices · Morono
BetOnline.ag · US
$6.95
Virgin Bet · UK
$6.25
NordicBet · EU
$6.75
TAB · AU
$6.50
Where to back Morono
best price · region · EV vs fair $6.08
US
BetOnline.ag
$6.95
+14%
BetOnline.ag
$6.95
+14%
UK
Virgin Bet
$6.25
+3%
Virgin Bet
$6.25
+3%
EU
NordicBet
$6.75
+11%
NordicBet
$6.75
+11%
AU
TAB
$6.50
+7%
TAB
$6.50
+7%
How it endsmethod calls · Morono · crowd line
KO/TKO
2
$15.21
Decision
3
$10.14
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Leal 21-6
VS
24-12 Morono
5'11"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
72"
32
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
7.1
strikes landed / min
5.0
43%
striking accuracy
40%
7.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
50%
striking defence
57%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
25%
takedown accuracy
25%
89%
takedown defence
47%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market16% vs 14%
Consensus13 of 63 analysts
Sharpest angleMorono by Decision — 3 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Morono @ $6.95 · fair $6.08
+14% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm picking Carlos Leal”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm picking Carlos Leal”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Carlos Leal
“Carlos Carlos Lealeal versus Alex Magomed Ankalaevorono going with Carlos Leal to win”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Carlos Leal
“Carlos Carlos Lealeal versus Alex Magomed Ankalaevorono going with Carlos Leal to win”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm taking Carlos Leal um anyone who can take fenov into deep Waters like that I like their chances”
Cyclone MMA picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm taking Carlos Leal um anyone who can take fenov into deep Waters like that I like their chances”
PA
PattyMMA picks Carlos Leal
“I'm going for for Carlos Leal in this fight Carlos Lealos uh”
PattyMMA picks Carlos Leal
“I'm going for for Carlos Leal in this fight Carlos Lealos uh”
JO
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Carlos Leal
“I think it's going to be an easy win for Carlos Leal... I think this one's going to be another decision to be honest”
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Carlos Leal
“I think it's going to be an easy win for Carlos Leal... I think this one's going to be another decision to be honest”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm picking Carlos Leal Le all day I think most people will”
MMA Prophecy picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I'm picking Carlos Leal Le all day I think most people will”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Leal
“if I have to just pick a winner odds and DraftKings pricing aside I'm going to pick Le all”
$1.12
We Want Picks picks Carlos Leal
“if I have to just pick a winner odds and DraftKings pricing aside I'm going to pick Le all”
$1.12
LE
Lepresident picks Carlos Leal
“I have gone with caros steel”
Lepresident picks Carlos Leal
“I have gone with caros steel”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE
“Alex Morono money line dog line plus 575”
Bloody Water Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE
“Alex Morono money line dog line plus 575”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE
“I think Alex Morono is tough he'll make it to they'll make it to the third round before he gets knocked out”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE
“I think Alex Morono is tough he'll make it to they'll make it to the third round before he gets knocked out”
JU
JussJustin picks Carlos Leal
“I'm going to go I'm going go with Carlos Carlos Lealeal Carlos Lealeal”
JussJustin picks Carlos Leal
“I'm going to go I'm going go with Carlos Carlos Lealeal Carlos Lealeal”
JU
JussJustin picks Alex Morono
“the reason I choose Alex Morono Pereira to win his fight is because I am hopeful tRafael Brunno Ferreiraizievt he wins man”
JussJustin picks Alex Morono
“the reason I choose Alex Morono Pereira to win his fight is because I am hopeful tRafael Brunno Ferreiraizievt he wins man”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Leal21-6
W
Njokuani
Feb '26
W
Morono
Mar '25
L
Fakhretdinov
Oct '24
Morono24-12
L
Donchenko
Feb '26
L
Leal
Mar '25
L
Rodriguez
Oct '24
L
Price
Jun '24
W
McGee
Apr '24