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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · breakdown

UFC 296 Edwards Vs Covington Full Card Breakdown And Detailed Predictions

NM Nubby MMA60% hit
31 months ago 1W–6L · -1.0u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
LE Leon Edwards v Colby Covington PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think Randy Brown's going to get it done brown lost to JDM only in this streak he had close fights but at least he's won him you know I beat Ronaldo close fight whatever close fight against Williams beat Gooden beat Olivera good win of a tournament not great wins and he arguably should lose these fights but I don't think Brown's going to get out grappled here and if it's on the feet I'm going to trust Brown to beat sakop to the punches and I think he will beat him by KO in the second round”
Moneyline since pick CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.80 close$1.65
Edwards’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SG Shamil Gaziev v Martin Buday PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think he'll beat Martin Buday here in a kind of an upset I guess I think he's a favorite over B but I know I don't think pet is that good either you know like say what you want oh wow he beat Josh perisian wow we beat Jake clier whoa he beat Chris Barnett an actual good fighter that he actually fought was Lucas biski who isn't even that good anyways let's be real in hindsight Walo Cortez aosta slept him he should have lost breski got completely scold in that fight Bryce Mitchell more skill than gaziev but Gaz is 11 and now he's just coming in here now he's a young guy as well I do believe 33 [ __ ] still 33 it's now or never I think he will go out there and beat Martin Buday so I don't think he'll clinch up with him I think G going to be too strong too big I think he is going to catch Martin Buday on the chin badly in this fight round one I'll say they'll be tit fortat and I think he'll get like a clinch uppercut KO or something on Martin Budayay”
Moneyline since pick CLV +10%
◆ entry$2.43 close$2.20
Gaziev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AF Andre Fili v Lucas Almeida PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to go for Andre Fili I think this is self-explanatory here I think a lot of people are picking Andre Fey Lucas Almeida just just doesn't seem to he just doesn't seem he's good he's good lucasa I like him Pat satini Al gra him whatever sabatini is weird doesn't gets whooped by Diego Lopez and Damon Jackson but can beat almost the rest of the guys of the division stupid you know except for the top guys in the ranked opponent guys but the unranked area Lopez and Jackson beat him but still 7 he out grappled him so we know his ground game is just not there Lucas almea but his standup is actually good I think fely's better though I think fely can grapple here if he needs to he has grappled before against guys like Yousef but he just lost that fight by getting out controlled a little bit more um and a little bit out damaged as well as that fight good for Yousef to get that win but still great performance against Nathaniel wood like manani wood great fight lost that fight to Wood but great fight you know and he before that he beat guys like who did he beat Bill alio Good win grappled in that fight I meant to say as well also grappled against him should get stand up can be cracked but I don't think he's burrito I don't think Al Brito who is just a Powerhouse I think he likes to sh set up his shots you got to just go for it against fely and Nathaniel was good and he struggled bunch and so I'm going to go for fely 3027 decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.59 close$1.65
Fili’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CD Cody Durden v Tagir Ulanbekov MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna go for Cody Durden here I'm picking a lot of underdogs well fely and I think fely yeah fely was obviously a favorite but was G even Underdog I want to see he was an underdog yeah I think Brown was also an underdog no he wasn't my 260 for round but dordan is an underdog here and I'm going to pick him I'm going to pick him over to gear I don't think I don't see what's good in Tagir Ulanbekov's game again like I I don't he's good good winner for n Maness but Nate Maness like like I know you just beat some other guy mandans or something Nate manes recently like a few we few months ago or a month ago or two he beat some mat Matas mandans he beat but still I don't really right Nate man ask you got a guillotine like I don't think that skill like if you got like a Reen could choke an arm triangle that's good but a guillotine one sub wonder is like what I like to call it a guillotin a guillotin you got him with a guillotin Cody Durden's smart he's a flyweight kobby pressures a lot look great against Hadley surviv the dismission attempts to gear should have lost naso on short notice got out damag completely in that fight I think deran has the better standup Tim eliot's really good but I think Duran's like the new Tim Elliot of the division a little bit more like simple though in my opinion so I think the top guys will figure out deran I think he will get past to gear though don't like to is that good man I think he's the worst of the of the team khabib team khabib team I think he's the worst team khabib the one of the worst guys him and say although they're fun to watch they're just not that level you know so yeah I'm going to go for Cody deran being able to push onto gear”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.50 close$2.60
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
BK Brian Kelleher v Cody Garbrandt PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I am going to go for jacobe I think though [ __ ] I can see him getting clipped or something or put down in two rounds and losing a decision or something that's what happened against azimat he scolded khil and khil just handled Smith easily last weekend [ __ ] I think that jacobe can beat him though jacobe is really good at the boxing slept Kenny as a chck woo you know and a he'll beat Jimmy crout like Jimmy Creo is just [ __ ] now in hindsight I don't really rate that win plus he took him to a draw I think jacobe can grapple here he's got underrated grappling I think you know he's got good takedowns he can grapple if he needs to can self takedowns if he needs to he's improved he's a good fighter good kickboxer I see this is like a Alex Pereira versus Yuri pahasa kind of in a way I think jacobe will catch him CU one thing with metafield is sure he's got these good wins m zov not a good win um that fake record guy beat as well what's his name AR ascar maerov fake record guy lost to him or beat him actually William Knight beat him though William Knight while he beat Ed Herman and Fabio shant lost to OSP by KO sure he's improved dein Clark beat him as well I'm not picking him to beat jacobe I'm going to go for jacobe get able to pick him at range and get KO at some point where Medfield rushes in I think he'll put out I think he'll put him away I think he'll put away [ __ ] what's his name [ __ ] Manfield that field if you tries grapple you Haven you didn't do it against CR so I'm not going trust you do it to jacobe”
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.85 close$2.73
Kelleher’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CO Casey O'Neill v Ariane Lipski PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going with Casey O'Neill we move on at the card Cody Garbrandt versus Brian kellerer I have a weird feeling kellerer sleeps him but I'm not going to pick him I'm going to pick Cody garat but I do have a weird suspicion Brian Kelleher just knocks Cara out cold I I I I really have a weird suspicion of that cuz kellerer is [ __ ] dangerous nickname's boom boom for a reason like he is dangerous and we know how chinny garron can be I think he's going to win though like he looked good against Trevin Jones didn't get chinned by him thank goodness [ __ ] God how did he beat Cruz I'm still wondering that to this day um but he won against Jones look good outclass him on the outside I think he's going to lose though I think he's going to I think no no no I think gbr's going to win I think gbr's going to win though here looks good car France biggy ra font's good at boxing I don't think kill has the Le both of them car France or font and uh I don't think Kell is going to outg Grapple him Brian Kelleher one thing with him recently is he didn't have the best chin either but he's just so slow at least God R still has his speed you know cuz where Brian Kelleher is she's so slow man he's so [ __ ] slow I think Brian Kelleher is going to get out like I can see him like cracking Cody Cody like go stubbly for a second right hand straight on the CH killer tried rushing in being faster being too quick I got gbr winning this one plus if it's going to be an outside range foot garbrandt will gar going get the better of that my with the kicks so I'll go garbrandt I think he gets it done”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56 close$1.56
O'Neill’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JE Josh Emmett v Bryce Mitchell PROP · DECISION LOST
“Josh Emmett versus Bryce Mitchell I'm gonna go for Josh Emmett I think on a full cap it's closer um I would still go it though I think regardless he's just is just a bad fight for Metro CU where you know Tapia has power has a good chin Mitchell has a good chin as well doesn't have much power though like w he dropped Barbosa who was [ __ ] scared shitless of a takedown you know he was so scared of a takedown he got dropped so I'm not I don't think Josh Emmett could be scared of a takedown he has been training gig Ki a striker so if I'm Mitchell I would go for it straight away with the takedowns but I think Josh Emmett strong you know he's fought guys like that before he actually hasn't [ __ ] he fought Yer and toia and actually has he actually hasn't fought any Grapplers has he e last rle fought was Michael Johnson if you want to look at it that way crazy still KO Johnson the way he did I'm going to go for uh Josh Emmett though I think he'll be too strong I think he's going to bully Bryce Mitchell who's took this on short notice I think emt's got good man for himself here I I think G was a bad match up for him I'm not going to lie so yeah I am going to pick um I'm going to pick him to win I think m going to win by H I think Mitchell will tough out a decision but lose 3027 I just don't like this match up for mitell and plus even in full Camp against eay didn't look that great himself there as well like that's not the price patol I really like to see there like but best Mitchell that really cares would have [ __ ] smoked Dan eay so yeah I'm going to go for him”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.00 close$3.05
Emmett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted