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Liam Picks Fights
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · breakdown

UFC Vegas 86 BETS & BANTER | Pyfer vs. Hermansson

LF Liam Picks Fights54% hit
29 months ago 3W–5L · -2.1u 8/9 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AQ Aori Qileng v Daniel Marcos MONEYLINE VALUE
“I'm buying the dip on Aori Qileng I'm forgiving him for the uh KO lust to sahabi I think that was just like a uh a one-time thing got caught whatever you want want to call it I don't like Daniel Marcos I don't like his process I've cashed on him before I cashed on him when he fought that Bruna Brasilian and knocked him out even had the KO there and now I'm fading him man um he ain't going to do the things that you need to do to beat Aori Qileng he isn't going to make it dirty he's not going to push it against the cage um he's going to stand at range and they're going to spar so this is a pick them fight I'm getting close to plus 200 it's a no-brainer um I've seen a lot of people putting Daniel Marcos in parlays it's just laziness in my opinion um so yeah as you can tell I'm fully on the Aori Qileng side don't mind the decision prop for him it's plus 400 I think that's a bit wide man”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.20 now$3.30
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
HA Hyder Amil v Fernie Garcia MONEYLINE WON
“for me I have to lean with hayder as like who I think's GNA get the job done here but I don't know that I could get to the price given he's a little bit limited he's a little bit vulnerable I think on the feet as well he'll get himself into some wild exchanges so that's my overall thoughts on this fight”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.54
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
BG Bogdan Guskov v Zac Pauga PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think he probably gets a KO man I think it's going to be some flash [__] like it was when Osman um tko'ed PGA um yeah the same sort of thing man he's a big [__] as well he's six3 Bogdan Guskov um you know fight starts on the feet so good luck to PGA man”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.10 close$2.10
Guskov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MG Max Griffin v Jeremiah Wells MONEYLINE WON
“I like Griffin man I don't think that Wells is going to be able to hold him down he might be able to double leg him and get him down but Max ain't gonna stay there and play jiu-jitsu off his back like Harris um or he ain't going to just stay off the off his back like Sam B he's going to get getups man and he's going to make wells work and I think Wells has the worst cardio out of the two um so yeah if they're working at a high Pace man I think he's the one to fall off not Max”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.36
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
DC Devin Clark v Marcin Prachnio MONEYLINE LOST
“Clark should win with the wrestling um prao has shown himself to be a bit of a flak man um you know that fight against was it Petrino who got the sub in Rain three um that was a disgusting look so yeah it's a bit of MMA MMA maths but if patrino can do that to him Clark should roll with the takedowns um and avoid the big punches he doesn't have submissions to wrap Clark up that's what Clark likes to do you know put his head in Guillotines and get himself subbed so you should be safe there”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.45 close$1.45
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
TC Timothy Cuamba v Bolaji Oki MONEYLINE LOST
“I think kow's gonna win I think he's going to submit him and simply because Oki from what I see is a double white belt man he's got zero Jiu-Jitsu what he does in fights if the Striking isn't going well for him he goes for takedowns and gets some due to his athleticism um kwamba showed on the Dana White Contender Series against vogle who's a Grappler kept trying to take him down he's got good taked down defense”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.70 close$2.65
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
TG Trevin Giles v Carlos Prates PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“give me prates here um to win by submission”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15 close$3.15
Giles’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BB Bruna Brasil v Loma Lookboonmee MONEYLINE LOST
“I actually think what I had bet maybe last time was hadalo by KO because I was like man it's like 10 12 to one whatever it is I think adalo has got more power than people realize like he's just built like a house he throws out that jab it starts busting up Chris Curtis is notic in these people because he's built like a house”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.40 close$3.51
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
AP Armen Petrosyan v Rodolfo Vieira MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm on the petosan side as well man um I heard some cases you know people saying it's the small cage now it's going to favor viea um yeah maybe maybe not man I just think it's going to push for our high pace and I think Armen Petrosyan's got the better uh cardio man uh I like the numbers for two3 for petosan 2”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.01 close$2.05
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish