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UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Prates v Giles Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus34 picks · conf 57/99
Prates 21
13 Giles
TJTJF1 pick Prates
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Prates 23-7 VS 16-7 Giles
6'1" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 74"
32 age 33
Switch stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 3.2
57% striking accuracy 54%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
48% striking defence 58%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
100% takedown accuracy 50%
91% takedown defence 72%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The City Life Project picks Trevin Giles VALUE “the pick is going to be Carlos protess”
TP The City Life Project picks Carlos Prates VALUE “I'm just super into Muay and kickboxing and she she's brought that style to the EVENT_DETAILS and is good enough” $3.10
TD The Rambling Dad picks Carlos Prates “I'm going with Carlos Prates as Jeremiah Wells so yeah Carlos Prates”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Trevin Giles “my official pick is trevan Trevin Giles um my subscribers also picked um Trevon Giles to win”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Trevin Giles “N/A”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Trevin Giles “I am G to pick him here to beat the side of Trevon Giles”
FI FightBookMMA picks Trevin Giles “it's time for him to fall I'm going for America” $2.85
HP Heavy P picks Carlos Prates VALUE “I like Carlos Prates Prates in this fight”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Carlos Prates “Trevin Giles Carlos Prates that could I think we I mean that could go a number of ways”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Trevin Giles “Trevin Giles Carlos Prates that could I think we I mean that could go a number of ways”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Trevin Giles “I have it written that prates or prates is a he is a dangerous fighter but Giles is a big step up to everything that he has fought”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Carlos Prates VALUE “I'm gonna go with Carlos Prates”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Prates23-7
W Maddalena KO/TKO · R3 May '26
W Edwards KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Neal KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Garry Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Magny KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
Giles16-7
L Malott Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Prates KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Bonfim Submission · R1 Jul '23
W Parsons Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Cosce Decision · R3 Sep '22