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Rodrigues vs TavaresMain Card · Middleweight
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Hermansson vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
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Ige vs FiliMain Card · Featherweight
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Potieria vs BryczekMain Card · Catchweight
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Rodrigues vs TavaresMain Card · Middleweight
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Johnson vs FlowersMain Card · Lightweight
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Vieira vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight
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Prates vs GilesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Oki vs CuambaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Lookboonmee vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Prachnio vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Griffin vs WellsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Guskov vs PaugaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Amil vs GarciaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodrigues v Tavares
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rodrigues 18-6
VS
21-12 Tavares
6'3"
height
6'1"
186 lb
weight
186 lb
75"
reach
74"
34
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.0
56%
striking accuracy
64%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
51%
striking defence
54%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
2.4
41%
takedown accuracy
35%
100%
takedown defence
55%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TP
The City Life Project picks Brad Tavares VALUE
“I think Gregory r just probably gets this done in like the second or third”
The City Life Project picks Brad Tavares VALUE
“I think Gregory r just probably gets this done in like the second or third”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm Gregory Rodrigues I think Brad Tavares Gregory Rodrigues although Brad Tavares has been hard where Gregory Rodrigues usually tries but I Gregory Rodrigues you're going Gregory Rodrigues as Jeremiah Wells Gregory Rodrigues card we got Brad Tavares versus Gregory and we got Brad Tavares coming in with a yep with Brad Tavares at two to with brat Brad Tavares on this one Brad Tavares on this fight and he's going to be what I've seen of Brad Tavares you know Brad Tavares”
The Rambling Dad picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm Gregory Rodrigues I think Brad Tavares Gregory Rodrigues although Brad Tavares has been hard where Gregory Rodrigues usually tries but I Gregory Rodrigues you're going Gregory Rodrigues as Jeremiah Wells Gregory Rodrigues card we got Brad Tavares versus Gregory and we got Brad Tavares coming in with a yep with Brad Tavares at two to with brat Brad Tavares on this one Brad Tavares on this fight and he's going to be what I've seen of Brad Tavares you know Brad Tavares”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I think he's going to win this particular fight potentially he's going to finish Trev um Brett savarez I mean um so I'd say 90% I'm 90% sure that um Gregory Rodrigues is going to win this fight”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I think he's going to win this particular fight potentially he's going to finish Trev um Brett savarez I mean um so I'd say 90% I'm 90% sure that um Gregory Rodrigues is going to win this fight”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Brad Tavares
“I'll go with the younger figh and Jack Hermanssonregory Rodrigues here”
UFC Bro Picks picks Brad Tavares
“I'll go with the younger figh and Jack Hermanssonregory Rodrigues here”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues
“N/A”
UFC Bro Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues
“N/A”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“Gregory is I think once he gets a hold of him D it's [__] all over he's either going to knock him club and sub”
$1.42
FightBookMMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“Gregory is I think once he gets a hold of him D it's [__] all over he's either going to knock him club and sub”
$1.42
KU
Kunath picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I think bellagi Oki really jumps off the page he's fighting a guy who's stepping in on short notice didn't even originally have a UFC contract is up a weight class Perfect Storm and 9500 it's hard to stomach but he could totally pay off his salary with a first round finish I like BAGI this week”
Kunath picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I think bellagi Oki really jumps off the page he's fighting a guy who's stepping in on short notice didn't even originally have a UFC contract is up a weight class Perfect Storm and 9500 it's hard to stomach but he could totally pay off his salary with a first round finish I like BAGI this week”
PN
Picks Nation picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I trust Gregor Rodriguez to get it done if I was more confident in Greg or Jeremiah it's about even for basically the same reason”
Picks Nation picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I trust Gregor Rodriguez to get it done if I was more confident in Greg or Jeremiah it's about even for basically the same reason”
I9
i9ines picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm going to have to lean towards Gregory Rodrigues I think it's going to be a car crash just a straight Collision from the get-go Brad tar is going to be trying to land his leg kicks but I think he's just not as high Q of a fighter as he would need to be to be at like the top Echelon of middleweight I think Gregory Rodrigues is at that level”
i9ines picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm going to have to lean towards Gregory Rodrigues I think it's going to be a car crash just a straight Collision from the get-go Brad tar is going to be trying to land his leg kicks but I think he's just not as high Q of a fighter as he would need to be to be at like the top Echelon of middleweight I think Gregory Rodrigues is at that level”
MM
Martian MMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'll pick Gregory Rodrigues to win a decision”
Martian MMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'll pick Gregory Rodrigues to win a decision”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I think a Gregory Rodrigues knockout is very much in play here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I think a Gregory Rodrigues knockout is very much in play here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodrigues18-6
W
Ferreira
Mar '26
W
Kopylov
Nov '25
W
Hermansson
Jun '25
L
Cannonier
Feb '25
W
Duncan
Jul '24
Tavares21-12
L
Anders
Mar '26
L
Bryczek
Sep '25
W
Meerschaert
Apr '25
L
Jun-yong
Oct '24
L
Rodrigues
Feb '24