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Guskov vs PaugaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Hermansson vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
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AF
Ige vs FiliMain Card · Featherweight
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RB
Potieria vs BryczekMain Card · Catchweight
GR
BT
Rodrigues vs TavaresMain Card · Middleweight
MJ
DF
Johnson vs FlowersMain Card · Lightweight
RV
AP
Vieira vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight
CP
TG
Prates vs GilesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BO
TC
Oki vs CuambaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
BB
Lookboonmee vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MP
DC
Prachnio vs ClarkPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MG
JW
Griffin vs WellsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BG
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Guskov vs PaugaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
HA
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Amil vs GarciaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Marcos vs QilengPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Guskov v Pauga
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Guskov 16-3
VS
7-3 Pauga
6'3"
height
—
205 lb
weight
—
76"
reach
—
33
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
4.5
48%
striking accuracy
62%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
47%
striking defence
58%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
0%
takedown accuracy
7%
66%
takedown defence
100%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bogdan Guskov
“I think he finishes puga unless cardio becomes an issue I don't think I don't see Zac Pauga winning this one so 80% um Bogdan Guskov wins this fight”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bogdan Guskov
“I think he finishes puga unless cardio becomes an issue I don't think I don't see Zac Pauga winning this one so 80% um Bogdan Guskov wins this fight”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Zac Pauga
“N/A”
UFC Bro Picks picks Zac Pauga
“N/A”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Bogdan Guskov
“I'm picking him to win this fight because he's the dog”
UFC Bro Picks picks Bogdan Guskov
“I'm picking him to win this fight because he's the dog”
HP
Heavy P picks Bogdan Guskov
“I like him to win”
Heavy P picks Bogdan Guskov
“I like him to win”
KU
Kunath picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I think Bogdan Guskov is just going to try to March him down throw those hard heavy strikes down the middle and one of them's going to land”
$2.05
Kunath picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I think Bogdan Guskov is just going to try to March him down throw those hard heavy strikes down the middle and one of them's going to land”
$2.05
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Zac Pauga
“Bogdan Guskov fighting The Ultimate Fighter veteran Zac Pauga”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Zac Pauga
“Bogdan Guskov fighting The Ultimate Fighter veteran Zac Pauga”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I ended up going with two here just because of the movement on the one Bogdan Guskov”
$2.05
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I ended up going with two here just because of the movement on the one Bogdan Guskov”
$2.05
PN
Picks Nation picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I picked him to win as well I just think Zac Pauga is not that good I think he's shown us that you can't rely on him”
Picks Nation picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I picked him to win as well I just think Zac Pauga is not that good I think he's shown us that you can't rely on him”
I9
i9ines picks Bogdan Guskov
“I think he has bombs in his hands he usually gets the finish and I think Zack paga just doesn't have the same finishing potential on the feet he's not a good enough Grappler to take him down and and you know sub him or do something like that I feel like so yeah I'm leading Bogden”
i9ines picks Bogdan Guskov
“I think he has bombs in his hands he usually gets the finish and I think Zack paga just doesn't have the same finishing potential on the feet he's not a good enough Grappler to take him down and and you know sub him or do something like that I feel like so yeah I'm leading Bogden”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I think Bogdan Guskov is a live dog to get an early finish”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE
“I think Bogdan Guskov is a live dog to get an early finish”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Guskov16-3
W
Krylov
Jul '25
W
Elekana
Jan '25
W
Spann
Apr '24
W
Pauga
Feb '24
L
Oezdemir
Sep '23
Pauga7-3
L
Guskov
Feb '24
L
Bukauskas
Jun '23
W
Wright
Feb '23
L
Usman
Aug '22