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UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Johnson v Flowers Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus58 picks · conf 72/99
Johnson 36
22 Flowers
TMBUEJ pick Johnson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Johnson 0-0 VS 12-8-1 Flowers
5'10" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 155 lb
74" reach 71"
40 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.1
39% striking accuracy 49%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
57% striking defence 44%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
41% takedown accuracy 28%
81% takedown defence 63%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The City Life Project picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I think I'm going with Michael Johnson too” $1.71
TD The Rambling Dad picks Darrius Flowers “I'm gonna pick Darrius Flowers um going Darrius Flowers um Darrius Flowers because I'm picking Darrius Flowers”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Michael Johnson “N/A”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Darrius Flowers “I got Darrius Flowers from the pick”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Darrius Flowers “I'm gonna go with the underdog here I'm going with the underdog and Darrius Flowers”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Michael Johnson “I'm gonna go with PGA”
FI FightBookMMA picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I'm going with yeah” $1.80
FI FightBookMMA picks Darrius Flowers “I'm putting a bet slip on for Darrius Flowers to knock his ass out” $2.05
KU Kunath picks Darrius Flowers VALUE “let's grab Darrius Flowers”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Darrius Flowers “someone's probably taking a nap hadol of Vieira versus Armen Petrosyan is either going to end with a sensational first round submission or we might Crown a worst fight you've ever seen it is either vieira's gonna tap him or it's gonna be the worst fight you've ever seen”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Michael Johnson “RoboCop might just be able to drag Brad tars into like a more fun scrap”
TM The It Factor MMA picks Michael Johnson “give me Michael Michael Johnson here at uh minus 145 guys keep it logged in going to try to get the rest of these picks out” $1.69
Recent form last five, most recent first
Johnson0-0
L Dober KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Zellhuber Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Flowers Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 May '23
Flowers12-8-1
W Vannata KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Elder Submission · R2 Jul '24
L Johnson Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Matthews Submission · R2 Jul '23