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UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hermansson v Pyfer Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus66 picks · conf 74/99
Hermansson 22
44 Pyfer
TMTVEJ pick Hermansson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hermansson 24-9 VS 0-0 Pyfer
6'1" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 75"
38 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 4.0
44% striking accuracy 56%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
56% striking defence 71%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
30% takedown accuracy 50%
80% takedown defence 73%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Joe Pyfer “I think Joe Pyfer is gonna do what Joe Pyfer does yeah man um one um I think Joe Pyfer's been good ... going to Bogdan Guskov with Joe Pyfer on this one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joe Pyfer “I feel like um Joe Pyfer will win whether it's on the feet or on the ground it doesn't really matter um and I'm 100% sure about this”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jack Hermansson “I feel like he's another example of middle like the middle how how how horrible the middleweight division has been I mean he's a good fighter but I don't feel like he should even be ranked”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Jack Hermansson “I'm gonna go with Trevin Jack Hermanssonilesoe Pyfer for a pick”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Joe Pyfer “N/A”
LS Lil Stray picks Joe Pyfer “I'm picking Joe Pyfer in this one”
FI FightBookMMA picks Joe Pyfer VALUE “I'm going for cornball on this one corn pyer” $1.44
HP Heavy P picks Joe Pyfer VALUE “I'm going with Joe Pyfer here I feel like everybody gave up on this guy I'm not giving up on him yet I don't really know who LMA lock boom beat to get that price of minus 245 but plus 200”
NE Neko_Sport picks Jack Hermansson “he's the champ and he doesn't intend for that to change”
TP THE LAND PODCAST picks Jack Hermansson “I would like to say that uh the better Grappler with double the experience the veteran is going to come in uh put the new guy in positions in unfamiliar territory and uh win a very comfortable decision”
KU Kunath picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “don't be surprised if we get to the third round we see Joe Pyfer start to slow down Jack Hermanssonsson start to speed up use that refined footwork that we've seen over the last couple of years and find a way to win”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Jack Hermansson “it's got to be pyer um I just think that that's where they're at in this point in their careers”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hermansson24-9
L Orolbai KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Pyfer Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
W Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '22
Pyfer0-0
W Adesanya KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Magomedov Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Gastelum Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Barriault KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Hermansson Decision · R5 Feb '24