UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · breakdown

Betting Strategies for UFC Vegas 106 | Burns vs Morales | 3 Plays from the Apex in Las Vegas

13 months ago 1W–1L · +0.7u 2/3 graded

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

Melquizael Costa v Julian Erosa PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“I'm gonna roll with Melquizael Costa to get this fight done inside the distance.”

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.59 → close$1.59

Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.25

Paul Craig v Rodolfo Bellato MONEYLINE VALUE

“I'm going to take Paul Craig here. I like the Bearj plus 400.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$5.00 → now$5.00

entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)

Denise Gomes v Elise Reed PROP · KO/TKO WON

“Give me uh give me the younger fighter, Denise Gomes, inside the distance at plus 170.”

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.19 → close$1.19

Gomes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.70