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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Β· breakdown

UFC 321 LOCK OF THE WEEK | BETTING BREAKDOWN

FP Fight Night Picks59% hit
8 months ago 3W–4L Β· -1.1u 7/8 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
AM Azamat Murzakanov v Aleksandar Rakić MONEYLINE WON
β€œBut I am all in on Azamat Murzakanov this week. He's taking on Aleksandar Rakić”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$1.93 β†’ close$1.98
entry: Pinnacle Β· best in any region at publish
JA Jaqueline Amorim v Mizuki Inoue MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI do have Jaqueline Amorim winning by submission.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.25 β†’ close$1.26
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
AM Azat Maksum v Mitch Raposo MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI think he's gonna finish Mitch Raposo inside the distance.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.29 β†’ close$1.29
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
UN Umar Nurmagomedov v Mario Bautista MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI feel as though Umar Nurmagomedov is pretty much a lock here.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.22 β†’ close$1.23
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
AV Alexander Volkov v Jailton Almeida MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI think Alexander Volkov is just a little too much for Giotin Almeida... if he's able to defend the takedowns and keep Jailton Almeida on the feet, he's live to knock him out.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$2.80 β†’ close$2.90
entry: BetMGM Β· best in any region at publish
TA Tom Aspinall v Ciryl Gane MONEYLINE β€”
β€œI think Tom Aspinall is gonna sub Ciryl Gane inside of three rounds if he make it there.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.30 β†’ now$1.30
entry: Betclic (FR) Β· best in any region at publish
NH Nasrat Haqparast v Quillan Salkilld MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI do like Nasrat Haqparast to win. I think it's going to come down to decision if they're trading, but I favor the volume from Nasrat Haqparast.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$1.93 β†’ close$1.96
entry: LeoVegas (SE) Β· best in any region at publish
VJ Virna Jandiroba v Mackenzie Dern MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI think Virna Jandiroba is just better everywhere but striking in this matchup.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$2.45 β†’ close$2.47
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish