MMA Prophecy
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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
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TA CG Aspinall vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight VJ MD Jandiroba vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight UN MB Nurmagomedov vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight AV JA Volkov vs AlmeidaMain Card · Heavyweight AR AM Rakić vs MurzakanovMain Card · Light Heavyweight ĽK MR Klein vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight IA PJ Aliskerov vs Jun-yongPreliminary Card · Middleweight NW JD Wood vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA CB Abdelwahab vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AM MR Maksum vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA MI Amorim vs InouePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight NH QS Haqparast vs SalkilldPreliminary Card · Lightweight VW LS Walker vs SutherlandPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Jandiroba over Dern · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$2.00 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $2.43
Where to back Jandiroba best price · region · EV vs fair $2.00
US BetMGM $2.35 +18%
UK William Hill (UK) $2.30 +15%
EU Unibet (SE) $2.43 +22%
AU Ladbrokes AU $2.30 +15%
Consensus232 picks · conf 99/99
Jandiroba 134
98 Dern
DMBMHM pick Jandiroba
How it endsmethod calls · Jandiroba · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $23.98
Submission 1 $23.98
Decision 10 $2.40
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jandiroba 22-4 VS 14-5 Dern
5'3" height 5'4"
115 lb weight 116 lb
64" reach 63"
38 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.4
38% striking accuracy 39%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
57% striking defence 51%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
34% takedown accuracy 16%
73% takedown defence 30%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market50% vs 41%
Consensus134 of 232 analysts
Sharpest angleJandiroba by Decision — 10 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Back Jandiroba @ $2.43 · fair $2.00 +22% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “Mackenzie Dern wins it”
GM GLO MMA picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “Mackenzie Dern's that [ __ ] just been [ __ ]”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “I got Verona in the coma new, come on, get it done for your boy.”
MC McManusMMA picks Mackenzie Dern “an easy Mackenzie Dern W. I think I think an easy Mackenzie Dern W. I think I think that she's going to absolutely win this than this fight. Um yeah, I'm going Mackenzie Dern by unanimous decision.”
_O _Octagon_Insights_ picks Virna Jandiroba “I'm honestly leaning towards Virna Jandiroba. ... I think Virna Jandiroba has gotten so much better. Fiveight win streak in the UFC.”
KS Kenny White Sports picks Virna Jandiroba VALUE “I love plus money and uh Virna Jandiroba I love plus money and uh Virna Jandiroba she's tough man and and I her she's got going to see her get submitted by Mackenzie Dern.”
AF Alex Talks Fights picks Virna Jandiroba VALUE “But I'm gonna lean Virna Jandiroba to get it done. ... submission over Mackenzie Dern.” $2.35
BS Betting Weekly Studios picks Virna Jandiroba VALUE “if anyone's taking any plus money on Virna Jandiroba, I don't think you can be that wrong.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Virna Jandiroba “I think Virna Jandiroba's got it. Yeah, Virna Jandiroba's made enough improvements. Virna Jandiroba, I think she is a lock. I've already put down 20 bucks on Virna Jandiroba.”
SP SportsBettingHUB picks Virna Jandiroba “I'm taking Virna Jandiroba... I'm gonna go Virna Jandiroba to uh Mackenzie Dern.”
CM Curious MMA picks Mackenzie Dern “So, Mackenzie Dern via decision.”
WI wilbozz picks Mackenzie Dern “I'm going to give it to Mackenzie Dern again.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jandiroba22-4
W Ricci Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Dern Decision · R5 Oct '25
W Xiaonan Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Lemos Submission · R2 Jul '24
W Godinez Decision · R3 Mar '24
Dern14-5
W Jandiroba Decision · R5 Oct '25
W Ribas Submission · R3 Jan '25
W Godinez Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Lemos Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Andrade KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23