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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
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TA CG Aspinall vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight VJ MD Jandiroba vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight UN MB Nurmagomedov vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight AV JA Volkov vs AlmeidaMain Card · Heavyweight AR AM Rakić vs MurzakanovMain Card · Light Heavyweight ĽK MR Klein vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight IA PJ Aliskerov vs Jun-yongPreliminary Card · Middleweight NW JD Wood vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA CB Abdelwahab vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AM MR Maksum vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Catchweight JA MI Amorim vs InouePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight NH QS Haqparast vs SalkilldPreliminary Card · Lightweight VW LS Walker vs SutherlandPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Barnett over Abdelwahab · Heavyweight Our fair value$4.42 Pinnacle pays above fair $5.33
Where to back Barnett best price · region · EV vs fair $4.42
US BetOnline.ag $5.25 +19%
UK William Hill (UK) $5.00 +13%
EU Pinnacle $5.33 +20%
AU Neds $4.80 +8%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $5.26
Consensus144 picks · conf 99/99
Abdelwahab 101
43 Barnett
NHMCBL pick Abdelwahab
How it endsmethod calls · Barnett · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $7.08
Decision 3 $11.80
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Abdelwahab 5-0 VS 23-9 Barnett
6'2" height 5'9"
264 lb weight 264 lb
72" reach 75"
33 age 40
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.2
52% striking accuracy 47%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 6.5
59% striking defence 39%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
75% takedown accuracy 0%
0% takedown defence 33%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market23% vs 19%
Consensus43 of 144 analysts
Sharpest angleBarnett by KO/TKO — 5 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Barnett @ $5.33 · fair $4.42 +20% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Chris Barnett VALUE “my pick is Chris Barnett”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Chris Barnett VALUE “Chris Barnett is about Chris Barnett, man.”
GM GLO MMA picks Chris Barnett VALUE “pick Chris Barnett”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Chris Barnett VALUE “We're going with the 39year-old Orthodox Chris Barnett, NOT_IN_ROSTER_21. Um, I just don't think Comedy is worthy of being a minus 575 favorite.”
MC McManusMMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going Hamdy Abdelwahab on this one.”
AF Alex Talks Fights picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going Hamdy Abdelwahab in this one. ... second round TKO for Hamdy Abdelwahab.” $1.18
DC Dougies Corner picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “Easy Hamdy Abdelwahab. Yes. Hamdy Abdelwahab is a lock.”
WI wilbozz picks Chris Barnett “I'm going to go Chris Barnett cuz I love him.”
DS Dynes Sports picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “recommend Betting Hamdy Abdelwahab at minus 500 or down to it. So, I think Hamdy Abdelwahab gets it”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Chris Barnett “So I will bet him root for um Chris Barnett.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Chris Barnett VALUE “I have Chris Barnett picked. No apparent reason behind that.”
RX RX picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “Hamdy Abdelwahab should win.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Abdelwahab5-0
W Barnett Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Usman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Pogues Decision · R3 Feb '25
Barnett23-9
L Abdelwahab Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Nzechukwu KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
W Collier KO/TKO · R2 Sep '22
L Buday Decision · R3 Apr '22
W Villante KO/TKO · R2 Nov '21