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TD CS Dillashaw vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight RP KP Paiva vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight DE DM Elkins vs MinnerMain Card · Featherweight MB MM Barber vs MaverickMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AY RC Yañez vs CostaMain Card · Bantamweight BA PS Allen vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Middleweight NI IH Imavov vs HeinischPreliminary Card · Middleweight MG JW Gall vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight JA AE Arce vs EwellPreliminary Card · Bantamweight SE ER Eubanks vs ReedPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DB HG Belbiţă vs GoldyPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Paiva v Phillips Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Paiva 2
4 Phillips
HD pick Paiva
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Paiva 21-5 VS 12-4 Phillips
height 5'8"
weight 135 lb
reach 72"
30 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 5.3
42% striking accuracy 44%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
48% striking defence 60%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.6
23% takedown accuracy 51%
77% takedown defence 75%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Raulian Paiva “N/A”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “i do like him to win here i think he can mix and take downs as well” $93.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raulian Paiva “Raulian Paivat does have a negative significant strike differential”
WP We Want Picks picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “kyla phillips will always be the lock of the week”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “i picked Kyler Phillips over Raulian Paiva”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raulian Paiva “give me phillips i like phillips quite a bit and i'm gonna take him to win by a very convincing decision”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kyler Phillips “that's going to be my prediction i think he's just too tricky for a guy like RaulIan Heinisch Paiva”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “i think that he will win this fight against Raulian Paiva i think the dynamic striking skill set will be on display though it will be competitive and close i have kyler phillips winning this but by a decision”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Kyler Phillips “i see a first-round rear naked choke submission win for Kyler Phillips”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Paiva21-5
L Morozov Decision · R3 Jun '22
L O'Malley KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
W Phillips Decision · R3 Jul '21
W Zhumagulov Decision · R3 Jul '20
W Rosa KO/TKO · R2 Feb '20
Phillips12-4
L Jourdain Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Font Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Barcelos Decision · R3 Aug '23