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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Allen v Soriano Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Allen 3
3 Soriano
HDW pick Allen
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Allen 26-7 VS 12-4 Soriano
6'2" height 5'11"
186 lb weight 171 lb
75" reach 72"
30 age 33
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.9 strikes landed / min 4.4
36% striking accuracy 60%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
53% striking defence 51%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
62% takedown accuracy 53%
53% takedown defence 73%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Brendan Allen VALUE “i am also leaning puna” $1.95
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brendan Allen VALUE “if allen can't get this fight down to the mat i think he could probably get a submission” $81.00
WP We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE “brandon allen's probably the safer pick”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Punahele Soriano “i am picking Punahele Soriano”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Punahele Soriano VALUE “i'm liking chris dawkis in this matchup maybe even a first round stoppage”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Punahele Soriano “i am going to go with pinelli soriano getting a ko blow over the top against Brendan Allen”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Allen26-7
W Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Ridder KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Vettori Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Imavov Decision · R3 Sep '24
Soriano12-4
W Brahimaj Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Veretennikov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Medić KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Baeza Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Stoltzfus Submission · R2 Dec '23