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Yañez vs CostaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dillashaw vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight
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Paiva vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
DE
DM
Elkins vs MinnerMain Card · Featherweight
MB
MM
Barber vs MaverickMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Yañez vs CostaMain Card · Bantamweight
BA
PS
Allen vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NI
IH
Imavov vs HeinischPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MG
JW
Gall vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
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Arce vs EwellPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
SE
ER
Eubanks vs ReedPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DB
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Belbiţă vs GoldyPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Prophecy read
Yañez v Costa
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Yañez 17-5
VS
6-4 Costa
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
32
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Switch
6.5
strikes landed / min
6.5
41%
striking accuracy
46%
5.8
strikes absorbed / min
7.6
57%
striking defence
58%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
0%
takedown accuracy
0%
100%
takedown defence
50%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
HB
Half The Battle picks Adrian Yañez
“i'm gonna go with yanez here as well um i'm thinking probably mid second round tko”
$1.43
Half The Battle picks Adrian Yañez
“i'm gonna go with yanez here as well um i'm thinking probably mid second round tko”
$1.43
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Adrian Yañez VALUE
“i do like the honest side”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Adrian Yañez VALUE
“i do like the honest side”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Randy Costa VALUE
“cost is going to go out there and he's going to fight for your money”
$73.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Randy Costa VALUE
“cost is going to go out there and he's going to fight for your money”
$73.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Adrian Yañez VALUE
“i have yanez in my lineup”
We Want Picks picks Adrian Yañez VALUE
“i have yanez in my lineup”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Adrian Yañez VALUE
“i'm going to take AdrIan Heinisch Yañez yanez most likely via tko”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Adrian Yañez VALUE
“i'm going to take AdrIan Heinisch Yañez yanez most likely via tko”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Adrian Yañez
“i'll say round one ko Adrian Yañez”
THE MMA GURU picks Adrian Yañez
“i'll say round one ko Adrian Yañez”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Yañez17-5
L
Marcos
Dec '24
W
Salvador
May '24
L
Martinez
Oct '23
L
Font
Apr '23
W
Kelley
Jun '22
Costa6-4
L
Cannetti
Oct '22
L
Kelley
Dec '21
L
Yañez
Jul '21
W
Newson
Sep '20
W
Salmon
Oct '19