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Boser vs PreuxMain Card · Heavyweight
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Valiev vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight
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Fili vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Means vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight
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Moicano vs HerbertMain Card · Lightweight
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Nzechukwu vs MarquesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
SR
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Rakhmonov vs PrazeresPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Wells vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Prachnio vs VillanuevaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Avila vs StoliarenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Means v Dalby
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Means 33-17-1
VS
23-5-1 Dalby
6'2"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
75"
reach
74"
42
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
4.1
49%
striking accuracy
43%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
60%
striking defence
52%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
40%
takedown accuracy
27%
64%
takedown defence
58%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MW
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Tim Means
“ben roethl is a unanimous decision... i picked him to lose that fight because he wouldn't realize how much a guy that cuts down to 265 like ben roethl is”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tim Means
“i do like Tim Means in the fight to win”
WI
WEIGHING IN picks Tim Means VALUE
“Tim Means wins this by decision”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“i'm leaning split decision Nicolas Dalby here to be honest with you guys i do think that as a dog i like dalby”
$2.40
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nicolas Dalby
“i'm gonna side with Nicolas Dalby i just think that style might work”
$1.62
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Tim Means VALUE
“i like Tim Means to win this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Means33-17-1
L
McGee
Oct '24
L
Medić
Apr '24
W
Fialho
Sep '23
L
Morono
May '23
L
Griffin
Oct '22
Dalby23-5-1
W
Izagakhmaev
Nov '25
L
Brown
Apr '25
L
Fakhretdinov
Jun '24
W
Bonfim
Nov '23
W
Salikhov
Jun '23