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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Wells v Alves Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus2 picks · conf 10/99
Wells 1
1 Alves
W pick Wells
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wells 13-4-1 VS 15-8 Alves
5'9" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 186 lb
74" reach 72"
39 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.0
47% striking accuracy 48%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
63% striking defence 50%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
52% takedown accuracy 50%
52% takedown defence 62%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WI WEIGHING IN picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “Jeremiah Wells gets it done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Warlley Alves “i'm gonna pick alves and i do think he finds a way to win it i think he could get a submission”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wells13-4-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Griffin Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Harris Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Apr '23
W McGee KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
Alves15-8
L Magomedov Decision · R3 May '24
L Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
L Dalby Decision · R3 Jan '23
L Wells KO/TKO · R2 Jun '21
W Lazzez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '21