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Esparza vs XiaonanMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Dumont vs SpencerMain Card · Women'S Featherweight
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Silva vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Dvořák vs RonderosPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Ismagulov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CG
Font vs GarbrandtMain Card · Bantamweight
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YX
Esparza vs XiaonanMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
JV
JT
Vanderaa vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Dumont vs SpencerMain Card · Women'S Featherweight
RR
BA
Ramos vs AlgeoMain Card · Featherweight
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ES
Hermansson vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight
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Rothwell vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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CS
McGee vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Silva vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Culibao vs NuerdanbiekePreliminary Card · Featherweight
DD
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Dvořák vs RonderosPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Ismagulov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Esparza v Xiaonan
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
G
pick Esparza
pick Esparza
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Esparza 20-8
VS
19-4 Xiaonan
5'1"
height
5'5"
115 lb
weight
116 lb
63"
reach
63"
38
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.2
strikes landed / min
5.0
39%
striking accuracy
45%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
54%
striking defence
60%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
36%
takedown accuracy
73%
47%
takedown defence
63%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“jan x and on I'm gonna pick her to win”
MMA EXPERTS picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“jan x and on I'm gonna pick her to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Carla Esparza
“betting against esparza who's on a good streak”
MMA EXPERTS picks Carla Esparza
“betting against esparza who's on a good streak”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yan Xiaonan
“i'd rather be playing esparza than the on side of 8600”
$87.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yan Xiaonan
“i'd rather be playing esparza than the on side of 8600”
$87.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“Carla Esparza 7600 could be a really interesting sneaky play here going against Yan Xiaonan who has been taken down before she has been controlled the only thing i don't like about esparza is when she gets those takedowns she does absolutely nothing with them not many strikes landed but she can get takedowns control time maybe squeak out a very close decision i can see it happening”
$77.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“Carla Esparza 7600 could be a really interesting sneaky play here going against Yan Xiaonan who has been taken down before she has been controlled the only thing i don't like about esparza is when she gets those takedowns she does absolutely nothing with them not many strikes landed but she can get takedowns control time maybe squeak out a very close decision i can see it happening”
$77.00
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Yan Xiaonan
“i'm gonna say that he crumbles i'm gonna say in round two and round three the pressure and cardio of Yan Xiaonancey medeiros is enough this time to get a win”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Yan Xiaonan
“i'm gonna say that he crumbles i'm gonna say in round two and round three the pressure and cardio of Yan Xiaonancey medeiros is enough this time to get a win”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Carla Esparza
“esparza racks up so many damn good wins”
Greedo Plays picks Carla Esparza
“esparza racks up so many damn good wins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Yan Xiaonan
“Carla Esparza versus jan x and on fight does go the decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Yan Xiaonan
“Carla Esparza versus jan x and on fight does go the decision”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yan Xiaonan
“i'm going to side with yon to get it done by a very close decision”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yan Xiaonan
“i'm going to side with yon to get it done by a very close decision”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“i gotta ride with alpar to win it as the dog in this one”
$2.95
MMA EXPERTS picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“i gotta ride with alpar to win it as the dog in this one”
$2.95
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“i got Yan Xiaonancy medeiros winning this fight i think he gets the decision”
$2.00
MMA EXPERTS picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“i got Yan Xiaonancy medeiros winning this fight i think he gets the decision”
$2.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Esparza20-8
L
Pennington
Oct '24
L
Weili
Nov '22
W
Namajunas
May '22
W
Xiaonan
May '21
W
Rodriguez
Jul '20
Xiaonan19-4
L
Jandiroba
Apr '25
W
Ricci
Nov '24
L
Weili
Apr '24
W
Andrade
May '23
W
Dern
Oct '22