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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ismagulov v Alves Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
Ismagulov 1
2 Alves
G pick Ismagulov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ismagulov 24-3 VS 20-12 Alves
5'10" height 5'8"
156 lb weight 155 lb
74" reach 68"
35 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 1.9
42% striking accuracy 48%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
61% striking defence 58%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
28% takedown accuracy 25%
70% takedown defence 44%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Rafael Alves VALUE “i would go less on isma ghoul off more on Rafael Alves here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Damir Ismagulov VALUE “Damir Ismagulov zamagulov is going to work towards a dominant unanimous decision” $1.20
GP Greedo Plays picks Damir Ismagulov “i think his maglev's gonna win this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Damir Ismagulov VALUE “the bet I like on this one would just be Damir Ismagulov straight lock of the weak here” $1.18
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rafael Alves “dimir ismagulov lock of the week but definitely not as much fun with the betting on izumagulov at the minus 550”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Damir Ismagulov VALUE “i think that izama gulav could potentially be a nice parlay pickup” $1.19
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ismagulov24-3
L Dawson Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Tsarukyan Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Kutateladze Decision · R3 Jun '22
W Alves Decision · R3 May '21
W Moisés Decision · R3 Aug '19
Alves20-12
L Aliev Decision · R3 Feb '23
L Dober KO/TKO · R3 Jul '22
W Diakiese Submission · R1 Nov '21
L Ismagulov Decision · R3 May '21