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Salkilld vs AshmouzEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight
KH
JP
Harrison vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
KH
VL
Holland vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight
JP
KG
Pyfer vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight
JV
BS
Van vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
WC
AS
Cong vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
YJ
JS
Joo-sang vs SaragihEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
QS
YA
Salkilld vs AshmouzEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
MB
PM
Bautista vs MixMain Card · Bantamweight
AM
BR
Murzakanov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
WC
SS
Cortes-Acosta vs SpivacPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
AG
KW
Gustafsson vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MM
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Mederos vs ChoinskiEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Salkilld v Ashmouz
Lightweight
Our fair value
$1.26
best price $1.23
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Salkilld
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.26
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.23
-2%
BetOnline.ag
$1.23
-2%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.20
-4%
Paddy Power
$1.20
-4%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.21
-4%
Pinnacle
$1.21
-4%
AU
Neds
$1.22
-3%
Neds
$1.22
-3%
How it endsmethod calls · Salkilld · crowd line
KO/TKO
12
$2.51
Submission
1
$30.15
Decision
11
$2.74
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Salkilld 11-1
VS
8-1 Ashmouz
6'0"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
75"
reach
69"
26
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.4
strikes landed / min
2.9
55%
striking accuracy
50%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
43%
striking defence
55%
9.0
takedowns / 15 min
4.8
40%
takedown accuracy
50%
100%
takedown defence
60%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market80% vs 81%
Consensus23 of 29 analysts
Sharpest angleSalkilld by KO/TKO — 12 of 24 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Yanal Ashmouz VALUE
“eu vou de Yoo Joo-sanganal Yoo Joo-sanganal Ashmouzouz vencendo essa luta aí”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Yanal Ashmouz VALUE
“eu vou de Yoo Joo-sanganal Yoo Joo-sanganal Ashmouzouz vencendo essa luta aí”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE
“I think Salv should get this one done via decision comfortably”
TakeDownTalks picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE
“I think Salv should get this one done via decision comfortably”
CM
Coty MMA picks Yanal Ashmouz VALUE
“I'm going to take Yanal Ashmouz Moose here.”
Coty MMA picks Yanal Ashmouz VALUE
“I'm going to take Yanal Ashmouz Moose here.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Quillan Salkilld
“We're siding with Quillin Quillan Salkilld to get the win here.”
Hidden Source News picks Quillan Salkilld
“We're siding with Quillin Quillan Salkilld to get the win here.”
SM
Script MMA picks Yanal Ashmouz VALUE
“I have Quillin Salkilled to absolutely annihilate Yanal Ashmau. I think Yanal Ashmouz, don't get me wrong, good fighter. Quillin is just too big for the division. Not too big, but he's a good height for for lightweight, six foot, has the reach advantage, and in these exchanges, he just looks so composed.”
Script MMA picks Yanal Ashmouz VALUE
“I have Quillin Salkilled to absolutely annihilate Yanal Ashmau. I think Yanal Ashmouz, don't get me wrong, good fighter. Quillin is just too big for the division. Not too big, but he's a good height for for lightweight, six foot, has the reach advantage, and in these exchanges, he just looks so composed.”
RM
Rare MMA picks Quillan Salkilld
“I have Quillan Salkilld taking on Yanal Ashmouz. I think it's gonna be a fun fight.”
Rare MMA picks Quillan Salkilld
“I have Quillan Salkilld taking on Yanal Ashmouz. I think it's gonna be a fun fight.”
ZE
ZermalalMMA picks Yanal Ashmouz
“the AI predicted that Kilan Quillan Salkilld is going to win by a round one TKO.”
ZermalalMMA picks Yanal Ashmouz
“the AI predicted that Kilan Quillan Salkilld is going to win by a round one TKO.”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE
“I think uh Quillan Salkilld is just going to go out there and get the job done.”
Walk The Line MMA picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE
“I think uh Quillan Salkilld is just going to go out there and get the job done.”
MA
MMA AJ picks Quillan Salkilld
“We will go with Quillan Salkilld if that's you say his name.”
MMA AJ picks Quillan Salkilld
“We will go with Quillan Salkilld if that's you say his name.”
VU
Valter Walker UFC picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE
“Eu vou no John, no coreano. Vamos no coreano.”
Valter Walker UFC picks Quillan Salkilld VALUE
“Eu vou no John, no coreano. Vamos no coreano.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Quillan Salkilld
“I'm going to go with Quillan Salkilld.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Quillan Salkilld
“I'm going to go with Quillan Salkilld.”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Quillan Salkilld
“88% of the EVENT_DETAILS pick Quillin to win versus 12 for Yanal Ashmouz. And most are predicting that Quillin will win via decision or a KO TKO.”
$1.18
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Quillan Salkilld
“88% of the EVENT_DETAILS pick Quillin to win versus 12 for Yanal Ashmouz. And most are predicting that Quillin will win via decision or a KO TKO.”
$1.18
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Salkilld11-1
W
Dariush
May '26
W
Mullarkey
Feb '26
W
Haqparast
Oct '25
W
Ashmouz
Jun '25
W
Jubli
Feb '25
Ashmouz8-1
L
Salkilld
Jun '25
W
Peek
Sep '24
L
Duncan
Jul '23
W
Patterson
Mar '23