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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight KH JP Harrison vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight KH VL Holland vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight JP KG Pyfer vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight JV BS Van vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Flyweight WC AS Cong vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight YJ JS Joo-sang vs SaragihEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight QS YA Salkilld vs AshmouzEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight MB PM Bautista vs MixMain Card · Bantamweight AM BR Murzakanov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight WC SS Cortes-Acosta vs SpivacPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AG KW Gustafsson vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MM MC Mederos vs ChoinskiEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Gustafsson over Williams · Welterweight Our fair value$2.55 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $2.68
Where to back Gustafsson best price · region · EV vs fair $2.55
US BetOnline.ag $2.68 +5%
UK Virgin Bet $2.55 0%
EU Coolbet $2.66 +4%
AU SportsBet $2.56 +0%
Consensus29 picks · conf 53/99
Gustafsson 13
16 Williams
HJJHCB pick Gustafsson
How it endsmethod calls · Gustafsson · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $4.25
Decision 2 $6.37
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gustafsson 12-3 VS 15-5 Williams
6'1" height 6'0"
171 lb weight 170 lb
74" reach 77"
35 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 5.8
53% striking accuracy 39%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
72% striking defence 42%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
58% takedown accuracy 0%
60% takedown defence 80%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 37%
Consensus13 of 29 analysts
Sharpest angleGustafsson by KO/TKO — 3 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Back Gustafsson @ $2.68 · fair $2.55 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Khaos Williams “I'm going to go Khaos Williams, dog.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Andreas Gustafsson “I'm going with Andreas Gustafsson moneyline Andreas Gustafsson plus three and a Andreas Gustafsson will last. I think.”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Khaos Williams VALUE “A minha aposta vai no caus Khaos Williamsiams”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Khaos Williams “Having a feeling that Khaos Williams gets the job done.”
KU Kunath picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE “at 7500, a win for Andreas Gustafsson probably puts him on the optimal lineup.”
JR Juan More Round picks Andreas Gustafsson “I got Gustoson.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Andreas Gustafsson “which is why we're siding with Andreas Gustafsson.”
WA WavyMMA picks Khaos Williams “Let's go Khaos Khaos Williams. I'm picking Khaos Williams William.”
RM Rare MMA picks Khaos Williams “We got Khaos Williams taking on Andreas Gustafsson again.”
CT Casual Takes picks Khaos Williams “I think Chaos Williams will make him pay for that. Khaos Williams knocks out bums and I think Andreas Gustafsson is a bum.”
JU JussJustin picks Andreas Gustafsson “do got him winning over Khaos Williams.”
MA MMA AJ picks Khaos Williams “No, I'm going to go with Khaos Williams Williams”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gustafsson12-3
L Fakhretdinov KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Williams Decision · R3 Jun '25
Williams15-5
W Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Gustafsson Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Bonfim Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Bedoya Decision · R3 May '23