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UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
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JC GR Cannonier vs RodriguesMain Card · Middleweight YZ CK Zalal vs KattarMain Card · Featherweight ES DB Shahbazyan vs BudkaMain Card · Middleweight NS IB Sadykhov vs BonfimMain Card · Lightweight AP RV Petroski vs VieiraMain Card · Middleweight JD CM Delgado vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Featherweight AH KS Hill vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RE JA Estevam vs AguilarPreliminary Card · Flyweight GB KW Bonfim vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight ES VM Smith vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight VW DM Walker vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JC JA Cavalcanti vs AvilaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Williams over Bonfim · Welterweight Our fair value$2.78 Unibet pays above fair $2.85
Where to back Williams best price · region · EV vs fair $2.78
US BetRivers $2.85 +3%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.85 +3%
EU Unibet (EU) $2.85 +3%
AU Unibet $2.85 +3%
Consensus59 picks · conf 72/99
Bonfim 36
23 Williams
BT1CMT pick Bonfim
How it endsmethod calls · Williams · crowd line
KO/TKO 16 $4.34
Submission 1 $69.45
Decision 7 $9.92
None 1 $69.45
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bonfim 19-1 VS 15-5 Williams
6'1" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
72" reach 77"
28 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 5.8
42% striking accuracy 39%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
62% striking defence 42%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
75% takedown accuracy 0%
73% takedown defence 80%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market36% vs 35%
Consensus23 of 59 analysts
Sharpest angleWilliams by KO/TKO — 16 of 25 method calls
Recommendation Back Williams @ $2.85 · fair $2.78 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 Khaos Williams this guy is a [__] animal dude like like dead ass I remember his last fight... he went out there and Chin him”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE $1.48
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Gabriel Bonfim “I'm going with bonfim to win” $1.50
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Gabriel Bonfim “we're going with the Brazilian brother in this fight”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Gabriel Bonfim “I'm picking Gabriel Bonfim to win this Don'Tale Mayestchup but I feel a little bit queasy with it and would be sweating it out should I parlay him in the spot hence why I'm going to say that he is not chalkworthy in this fight” $1.48
AM AA MMA picks Khaos Williams “I'm going lean towards Khaos Williams I think he's has a lot more you know potential out there every time seen a bomb free they lowy disappoint”
AM AA MMA picks Khaos Williams “yo voy a ir contra SP voy a elegir a Khaos Williams porque los B yo creo que tienen más o menos buenos momentos pero no son tan buenos a m me gusta K Williams me gusta lo que yo que es y yo creo que va a lograr hacer algo un gran torneo y va a tomar lo que ti que tomar para ganar y va a ganar”
AM AA MMA picks Gabriel Bonfim “tenemos a Gabriel Bonfim contra Khaos Williams yo voy a ir contra SP voy a elegir a Khaos Williams”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Khaos Williams “from the welterweight division Gabriel Bonfim versus Khaos Khaos Williams yeah K that's time to stand on business my boy yeah K yeah K time to stand on business to get the yeah yeah let's get to it let's get to it feel me let's get to it”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE “that fight is going to be quite literally utter chaos”
FI FightPicksPro picks Khaos Williams “I'm picking Gabriel bonam in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Gabriel Bonfim “I'm going to go Gabriel Bonfim”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bonfim19-1
W Muhammad Decision · R5 Jun '26
W Brown KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Thompson Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Williams Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Loosa Decision · R3 Jul '24
Williams15-5
W Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Gustafsson Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Bonfim Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Bedoya Decision · R3 May '23