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UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
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PY DF Yan vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight YX TR Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MS SK Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight GF WC Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight CU VO Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight ZM OD Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight YS BJ Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight CD KS Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM FX Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH NT Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight LK JO Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight XL QL Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight NM MH Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Oezdemir over Ulberg · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$5.71 DraftKings pays above fair $9.00
Where to back Oezdemir best price · region · EV vs fair $5.71
US DraftKings $9.00 +58%
UK Betway $7.00 +23%
EU Betsson $6.45 +13%
AU Unibet $4.80 -16%
Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Ulberg 40
14 Oezdemir
UANSCT pick Ulberg
How it endsmethod calls · Oezdemir · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $6.52
Decision 1 $45.66
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ulberg 14-1 VS 20-8 Oezdemir
6'4" height 6'2"
205 lb weight 206 lb
77" reach 75"
35 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 5.0
63% striking accuracy 48%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
64% striking defence 55%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
71% takedown accuracy 29%
77% takedown defence 80%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market18% vs 11%
Consensus14 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleOezdemir by KO/TKO — 7 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Oezdemir @ $9.00 · fair $5.71 +58% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
AM Artem MMA picks Carlos Ulberg “I did think that Uber Carlos Ulberg did win”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Carlos Ulberg “unanimous decision win for Carlos Ulberg”
EM Elijah House MMA picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE “I'm going Carlos Ulberg”
UD UFC DUBLADO picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE “Carlos Ulberg por Vitória normal”
SM Spencer Martin picks Carlos Ulberg “first give me Carlos Ulberg he hasn't lost since 2021”
TH The Hardcore Hater picks Volkan Oezdemir “I'm looking at Carlos oberg to hopefully win this one”
TP TCMMA Podcast picks Carlos Ulberg “I got to go with Carlos Ulberg man I just got to believe that every time we see him he's still getting better you know he's 34 years old so he's still kind of in that Prime window but he's young still as a fighter too so I still think he's a learning uh and growing so I with that being said I think every time we see him he's going to be even better and as good as Volkan Oezdemir is and as hard it is to go against him I still got to Carlos Ulberg wins this thing they move to 12- one mainly on the feto out strike”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Carlos Ulberg “I believe Al's Superior striking speed and footwork will allow him to stay away from the big Power of Volkan Oezdemir chop away at him with his jab and eventually win this fight on the scorecards”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE “I kind of think at a plus 200 odds I kind of like Volkan Oezdemir with the veterans ship he kickbox for a while like he I don't know unless he gets [__] his head knocked off which could happen I kind of like the odds on uir” $3.00
TB Totally Blitzed picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE “I'm going have to take my dog oer because it ain't broke don't fix it my boy been kind of killing the game every time and he's impressed me each fight so I believe in berbert” $1.41
12 12Coffees picks Carlos Ulberg “va a ganar Carlos Ulberg”
PP Parlay Princes picks Carlos Ulberg “we got Vulcan usir and Carlos Ulberg um I love olberg in this mine is the earring the earring threw me off a little bit but I guess that that's a traditional a traditional uh the issue is Volcan seen way better competition so I'm like yo am I getting baited here I am going craws o I don't like it though guys I'll like it once he finishes him but if he doesn't finish him I'm going to be like I told you guys it's 50/50”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W Procházka KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
W Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Błachowicz Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Oezdemir Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Menifield KO/TKO · R1 May '24
Oezdemir20-8
W Menifield KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Ulberg Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Walker KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Guskov Submission · R1 Sep '23
L Krylov Decision · R3 Oct '22