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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
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BM AA Moreno vs AlbaziMain Card · Flyweight EB RN Blanchfield vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BR CM Ribeiro vs MachadoMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ AS Jasudavicius vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight DS MB Stoltzfus vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight MM TG Malott vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight AZ PM Zahabi vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight CJ VH Jourdain vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight YZ JS Zalal vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight AR RN Romanov vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight SS GA Sidey vs ArmfieldPreliminary Card · Bantamweight CG CA Gibson vs AnheligerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JH IP Horth vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Moreno over Albazi · Flyweight Our fair value$1.57 Caesars pays above fair $1.61
Where to back Moreno best price · region · EV vs fair $1.57
US Caesars $1.61 +3%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.57 +0%
EU Betsson $1.60 +2%
AU SportsBet $1.57 +0%
Consensus124 picks · conf 98/99
Moreno 84
40 Albazi
CBEMKE pick Moreno
How it endsmethod calls · Moreno · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $9.40
Submission 3 $18.80
Decision 26 $2.17
None 1 $56.41
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moreno 23-9-2 VS 17-2 Albazi
5'7" height 5'5"
125 lb weight 125 lb
70" reach 68"
32 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 2.7
43% striking accuracy 34%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
60% striking defence 61%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
46% takedown accuracy 32%
64% takedown defence 50%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market64% vs 62%
Consensus84 of 124 analysts
Sharpest angleMoreno by Decision — 26 of 36 method calls
Recommendation Back Moreno @ $1.61 · fair $1.57 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Greedo Plays picks Brandon Moreno “same with the UFC Edmonton Brandon Moreno versus Amir Albazi predictions again that card is later tonight so go make sure you look at all of those videos after this one”
EM Elijah House MMA picks Amir Albazi VALUE “I'll be going with Amir Albazi for the win”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Amir Albazi VALUE
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “my subscribers and I went with um Brandon Brandon Moreno” $1.65
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Brandon Moreno “the simulations have Brandon Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno coming out on top winning five out of five simulations with four simulation victories by decision and one simulation Victory by technical knockout in the fifth round”
PS Pixelated Sean picks Amir Albazi “the match was mine and this guy won”
TP The Game Project picks Amir Albazi “many believe this is as well-rounded a player as we have at 125 lbs could just be the first Iraqi champion in UFC history got to take care of business here tonight”
AM Axel MMA picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “if Moreno doesn't win and he's going to win if you picked Amir Albazi go yourself”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Brandon Moreno “yo me voy a ir con theing Baby con el tipo que va a estrenar chores shores ahí con el Cómo que se llama el dios de la luz Azteca Entonces sí me voy a ir comprando de Assassin baby Moreno”
CM Coty MMA picks Amir Albazi “my second leg of my parlay with zal is Brandon Brandon Moreno minus 154”
CM Coty MMA picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “give me Brandon Brandon Moreno”
EA Eddie aviss picks Brandon Moreno “I'd go Brandon Moreno on the feet”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moreno23-9-2
L Kavanagh Decision · R5 Feb '26
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Erceg Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Albazi Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Royval Decision · R5 Feb '24
Albazi17-2
L Horiguchi Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Moreno Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Kara-France Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Costa KO/TKO · R3 Dec '22
W Figueiredo Submission · R1 Aug '22