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Moreno vs AlbaziMain Card · Flyweight
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Zahabi vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Jourdain vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Zalal vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Romanov vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Sidey vs ArmfieldPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Gibson vs AnheligerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Horth vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Moreno vs AlbaziMain Card · Flyweight
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Blanchfield vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Ribeiro vs MachadoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JJ
AS
Jasudavicius vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
DS
MB
Stoltzfus vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight
MM
TG
Malott vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
AZ
PM
Zahabi vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CJ
VH
Jourdain vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
YZ
JS
Zalal vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight
AR
RN
Romanov vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
SS
GA
Sidey vs ArmfieldPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CG
CA
Gibson vs AnheligerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JH
IP
Horth vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Romanov
over Nascimento · Heavyweight
Our fair value$1.84
pays above fair
$1.91
Best prices · Romanov
Caesars · US
$1.87
Betway · UK
$1.83
Coolbet · EU
$1.91
PlayUp · AU
$1.83
Where to back Romanov
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.84
US
Caesars
$1.87
+1%
Caesars
$1.87
+1%
UK
Betway
$1.83
-1%
Betway
$1.83
-1%
EU
Coolbet
$1.91
+4%
Coolbet
$1.91
+4%
AU
PlayUp
$1.83
-1%
PlayUp
$1.83
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Romanov · crowd line
KO/TKO
7
$3.43
Submission
3
$7.99
Decision
3
$7.99
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Romanov 18-3
VS
11-3 Nascimento
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
35
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
3.7
51%
striking accuracy
47%
2.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
54%
striking defence
44%
4.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
55%
takedown accuracy
37%
28%
takedown defence
60%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market54% vs 52%
Consensus30 of 53 analysts
Sharpest angleRomanov by KO/TKO — 7 of 13 method calls
Recommendation
Back Romanov @ $1.91 · fair $1.84
+4% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Alexander Romanov”
$1.74
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Alexander Romanov”
$1.74
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I went Rodrigo Nascimento in this one Charles Jourdain and Victor Henry I'm going Charles Jourdain I love that pick uh confident in him Jasmine Jasudavicius over NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 I'm going Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz and to reiterate that main event Mike Malott over T Trevon Giles Marc-André Barriault over Dustin suus uh B Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 over NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Rose Nunes over Erin Blanchfield and in the EVENT_DETAILS Brandon Moreno over air Amir Albazi that is my betting breakdown for the whole entire card”
B ALL N Sports picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I went Rodrigo Nascimento in this one Charles Jourdain and Victor Henry I'm going Charles Jourdain I love that pick uh confident in him Jasmine Jasudavicius over NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 I'm going Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz and to reiterate that main event Mike Malott over T Trevon Giles Marc-André Barriault over Dustin suus uh B Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 over NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Rose Nunes over Erin Blanchfield and in the EVENT_DETAILS Brandon Moreno over air Amir Albazi that is my betting breakdown for the whole entire card”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“if we get a decent looking Romanov I'm betting Romanov”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“if we get a decent looking Romanov I'm betting Romanov”
WP
We Want Picks picks Alexander Romanov
“I'm going to pick Romanov here”
We Want Picks picks Alexander Romanov
“I'm going to pick Romanov here”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“I like Alexander Romanov and give me the under one and a half in that one”
Tony's Picks picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“I like Alexander Romanov and give me the under one and a half in that one”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“a minha aposta vai no Rodrigo Nascimento comia Rodrigo Nascimento comia é um atleta estratégico vai usar o jogo de queda sempre que for possível”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“a minha aposta vai no Rodrigo Nascimento comia Rodrigo Nascimento comia é um atleta estratégico vai usar o jogo de queda sempre que for possível”
FM
FunkyBunch MMA picks Alexander Romanov
“the pick is going to be uh Alexander Romanov medium confidence in the pick medium confidence in this fight going finish and I think that he'll submit him in the first round”
FunkyBunch MMA picks Alexander Romanov
“the pick is going to be uh Alexander Romanov medium confidence in the pick medium confidence in this fight going finish and I think that he'll submit him in the first round”
WP
Winning In The Shadows Bets and Predictions picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“if we get fat Roman off I will be all over Rodrigo Nascimento because we have seen this man quit and give up”
Winning In The Shadows Bets and Predictions picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“if we get fat Roman off I will be all over Rodrigo Nascimento because we have seen this man quit and give up”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I believe naso will be able to stay out of too much danger allowing him to pull away in the second and third rounds and probably getting a finish finish late”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I believe naso will be able to stay out of too much danger allowing him to pull away in the second and third rounds and probably getting a finish finish late”
GM
Green Bets MMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I want Rodrigo Nascimento side I think he's taking his career more seriously”
Green Bets MMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“I want Rodrigo Nascimento side I think he's taking his career more seriously”
EB
ESPN BET picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“let's go Rodrigo Nascimento over Alexander Romanov”
ESPN BET picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE
“let's go Rodrigo Nascimento over Alexander Romanov”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I think Rodrigo Nascimento uh is able to uh to pick him apart and get a second or third round TKO stoppage”
JakeGerberMMA picks Rodrigo Nascimento
“I think Rodrigo Nascimento uh is able to uh to pick him apart and get a second or third round TKO stoppage”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Romanov18-3
W
Nascimento
Nov '24
L
Almeida
Jun '24
W
Ivanov
Jul '23
L
Volkov
Mar '23
L
Tybura
Aug '22
Nascimento11-3
L
Romanov
Nov '24
L
Lewis
May '24
W
Mayes
Nov '23
W
Latifi
May '23
W
Boser
Sep '22