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Ribeiro vs MachadoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ribeiro vs MachadoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Jasudavicius vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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MM
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Malott vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
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Zahabi vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CJ
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Jourdain vs HenryPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
YZ
JS
Zalal vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight
AR
RN
Romanov vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
SS
GA
Sidey vs ArmfieldPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CG
CA
Gibson vs AnheligerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JH
IP
Horth vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Ribeiro
over Machado · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$2.19
LowVig.ag
pays above fair
$2.50
Best prices · Ribeiro
LowVig.ag · US
$2.50
Virgin Bet · UK
$2.25
Pinnacle · EU
$2.40
TAB · AU
$2.35
Where to back Ribeiro
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.19
US
LOW
LowVig.ag
$2.50
+14%
UK
Virgin Bet
$2.25
+2%
Virgin Bet
$2.25
+2%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.40
+9%
Pinnacle
$2.40
+9%
AU
TAB
$2.35
+7%
TAB
$2.35
+7%
How it endsmethod calls · Ribeiro · crowd line
KO/TKO
8
$3.02
Submission
2
$12.07
Decision
1
$24.14
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ribeiro 17-9
VS
8-4-1 Machado
6'3"
height
6'4"
206 lb
weight
205 lb
81"
reach
78"
29
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.6
strikes landed / min
5.8
54%
striking accuracy
53%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
47%
striking defence
63%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
55%
takedown accuracy
0%
78%
takedown defence
82%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market46% vs 40%
Consensus24 of 43 analysts
Sharpest angleRibeiro by KO/TKO — 8 of 11 method calls
Recommendation
Back Ribeiro @ $2.50 · fair $2.19
+14% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog in this one I'm gonna go Brinson NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 uh due to this this huge weight cut ... I'm going to say that NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 is going to be able to get this done uh it's not a Surefire pick as he is the slight Underdog right now but the odds have gotten closer as far as that goes so I'm gonna side with NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 in this one I think he does get in um I'm gonna say a knockout I'm actually gonna go early in this one I'm gonna I say it happens under one and a half on this um”
B ALL N Sports picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog in this one I'm gonna go Brinson NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 uh due to this this huge weight cut ... I'm going to say that NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 is going to be able to get this done uh it's not a Surefire pick as he is the slight Underdog right now but the odds have gotten closer as far as that goes so I'm gonna side with NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 in this one I think he does get in um I'm gonna say a knockout I'm actually gonna go early in this one I'm gonna I say it happens under one and a half on this um”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE
“I'm going Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz and to reiterate that main event Mike Malott over T Trevon Giles Marc-André Barriault over Dustin suus uh B Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 over NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Rose Nunes over Erin Blanchfield and in the EVENT_DETAILS Brandon Moreno over air Amir Albazi that is my betting breakdown for the whole entire card”
B ALL N Sports picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE
“I'm going Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz and to reiterate that main event Mike Malott over T Trevon Giles Marc-André Barriault over Dustin suus uh B Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 over NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Rose Nunes over Erin Blanchfield and in the EVENT_DETAILS Brandon Moreno over air Amir Albazi that is my betting breakdown for the whole entire card”
FI
fiatlover956 picks Caio Machado
“I'm going take Bron rero”
fiatlover956 picks Caio Machado
“I'm going take Bron rero”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I like that it's a risky fight but it's one that I like for upside purposes”
$1.69
Mayo Media Network picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I like that it's a risky fight but it's one that I like for upside purposes”
$1.69
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Brendson Ribeiro
“I'm hoping it's Pedro by decision”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Brendson Ribeiro
“I'm hoping it's Pedro by decision”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE
“I do like Brendson Ribeiro to get the job done plus 135”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE
“I do like Brendson Ribeiro to get the job done plus 135”
CC
Chronic Combat Conversations picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE
“ultimately I gotta go cold blooded Aaron blanchfield here”
$1.77
Chronic Combat Conversations picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE
“ultimately I gotta go cold blooded Aaron blanchfield here”
$1.77
WP
We Want Picks picks Caio Machado
“I think Kyle Machado wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Caio Machado
“I think Kyle Machado wins this fight”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Caio Machado
“eu vou de vitória do Caio Machado Caio Machado Machado”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Caio Machado
“eu vou de vitória do Caio Machado Caio Machado Machado”
MM
Mask MMA picks Brendson Ribeiro
“I'm going to have to go with Brendson Ribeiro”
Mask MMA picks Brendson Ribeiro
“I'm going to have to go with Brendson Ribeiro”
FM
FunkyBunch MMA picks Brendson Ribeiro
“the pick is going to be Brendson Ribeiro low confidence in the pick low confidence in this fight going decision”
FunkyBunch MMA picks Brendson Ribeiro
“the pick is going to be Brendson Ribeiro low confidence in the pick low confidence in this fight going decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ribeiro17-9
L
Yakhyaev
Apr '26
L
Sy
Sep '25
L
Murzakanov
Jun '25
W
Nurgozhay
Mar '25
W
Machado
Nov '24
Machado8-4-1
L
Ribeiro
Nov '24
L
Mayes
Apr '24
L
Parkin
Nov '23