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Rodriguez vs MoronoMain Card · Welterweight
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Jun-yong vs TavaresMain Card · Middleweight
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Njokuani vs GoodenMain Card · Catchweight
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Dawson vs GarcíaMain Card · Lightweight
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Rodriguez vs MoronoMain Card · Welterweight
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Temirov vs VergaraPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Sabatini vs PearcePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Gorimbo vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Tafa vs SharafPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Polastri vs McKennaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Haddon vs ArguetaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodriguez v Morono
Welterweight
Our fair value
$1.51
best price $1.50
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Rodriguez
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US
FanDuel
$1.49
-1%
FanDuel
$1.49
-1%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.50
-0%
Paddy Power
$1.50
-0%
EU
Coolbet
$1.50
-0%
Coolbet
$1.50
-0%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.50
-0%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.50
-0%
How it endsmethod calls · Rodriguez · crowd line
KO/TKO
7
$3.44
Decision
9
$2.68
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rodriguez 18-5
VS
24-12 Morono
6'1"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
72"
39
age
35
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
7.5
strikes landed / min
5.0
49%
striking accuracy
40%
5.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
58%
striking defence
57%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
54%
takedown accuracy
25%
57%
takedown defence
47%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 67%
Consensus26 of 38 analysts
Sharpest angleRodriguez by Decision — 9 of 16 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think run guys is going to get a knockout here ... Daniel Rodriguez is going to be the pick”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think run guys is going to get a knockout here ... Daniel Rodriguez is going to be the pick”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Daniel Rodriguez
“my subscribers and I went with um Daniel Rodriguez um Daniel Rodriguez is the favorite at minus 205”
$1.49
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Daniel Rodriguez
“my subscribers and I went with um Daniel Rodriguez um Daniel Rodriguez is the favorite at minus 205”
$1.49
MM
MMAPlaya picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think dinner is going to win that fight”
MMAPlaya picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think dinner is going to win that fight”
CC
Chronic Combat Conversations picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“give me the uh Daniel Rodriguez Grant Daws and parlay”
$1.42
Chronic Combat Conversations picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“give me the uh Daniel Rodriguez Grant Daws and parlay”
$1.42
EC
Ethan Caissie picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I definitely think Daniel Rodriguez is going to take this one”
$1.50
Ethan Caissie picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I definitely think Daniel Rodriguez is going to take this one”
$1.50
WP
We Want Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going to pick Daniel Rodriguez”
We Want Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going to pick Daniel Rodriguez”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going with the dog in this one I'm going with Daniel Rodriguez”
$2.55
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going with the dog in this one I'm going with Daniel Rodriguez”
$2.55
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Morono VALUE
“gim me Cody Haddon I think the kid is able to out strike uh Daniel Rodriguez”
$1.56
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Morono VALUE
“gim me Cody Haddon I think the kid is able to out strike uh Daniel Rodriguez”
$1.56
WR
Wise Rise picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going with Daniel Rodriguez as I think that this fight stays on the feet”
$1.49
Wise Rise picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going with Daniel Rodriguez as I think that this fight stays on the feet”
$1.49
LM
Live Dogs MMA picks Alex Morono
“so I will take Rodriguez”
Live Dogs MMA picks Alex Morono
“so I will take Rodriguez”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think Daniel Rodriguez gets the win over Alex Morono”
Livid Larry MMA picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think Daniel Rodriguez gets the win over Alex Morono”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think Rodriguez will do a good job in terms of walking morono down Landing his big strikes and winning this fight on the scorecards”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think Rodriguez will do a good job in terms of walking morono down Landing his big strikes and winning this fight on the scorecards”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodriguez18-5
W
Holland
Jul '25
W
Ponzinibbio
May '25
W
Morono
Oct '24
L
Gastelum
Jun '24
L
Garry
May '23
Morono24-12
L
Donchenko
Feb '26
L
Leal
Mar '25
L
Rodriguez
Oct '24
L
Price
Jun '24
W
McGee
Apr '24