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Sabatini vs PearcePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BT
Jun-yong vs TavaresMain Card · Middleweight
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JG
Njokuani vs GoodenMain Card · Catchweight
GD
RG
Dawson vs GarcíaMain Card · Lightweight
DR
AM
Rodriguez vs MoronoMain Card · Welterweight
RT
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Temirov vs VergaraPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Sabatini vs PearcePreliminary Card · Featherweight
TG
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Gorimbo vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
JT
SS
Tafa vs SharafPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JP
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Polastri vs McKennaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Haddon vs ArguetaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Carpenter vs RochaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Pearce
over Sabatini · Featherweight
Our fair value$1.53
pays above fair
$1.56
Best prices · Pearce
Bovada · US
$1.56
Paddy Power · UK
$1.53
Coolbet · EU
$1.56
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$1.55
Where to back Pearce
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.53
US
Bovada
$1.56
+2%
Bovada
$1.56
+2%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.53
-0%
Paddy Power
$1.53
-0%
EU
Coolbet
$1.56
+2%
Coolbet
$1.56
+2%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.55
+1%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.55
+1%
How it endsmethod calls · Pearce · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$15.32
Decision
9
$1.70
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sabatini 21-5
VS
14-7 Pearce
5'8"
height
6'0"
146 lb
weight
145 lb
70"
reach
71"
35
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Switch
1.9
strikes landed / min
5.1
59%
striking accuracy
54%
1.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
48%
striking defence
54%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
5.0
44%
takedown accuracy
50%
50%
takedown defence
55%
2.0
submissions / 15 min
0.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 64%
Consensus25 of 35 analysts
Sharpest anglePearce by Decision — 9 of 10 method calls
Recommendation
Back Pearce @ $1.56 · fair $1.53
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“give me the underdog Pat Pat Sabatini here I like the matchup for him”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“give me the underdog Pat Pat Sabatini here I like the matchup for him”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'm taking Jonathan Pearce”
The Rambling Dad picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'm taking Jonathan Pearce”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jonathan Pearce
“My subscribers and I went with Jonathan Pearce um Jonathan Pearce is the favorite at minus 135”
$1.74
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jonathan Pearce
“My subscribers and I went with Jonathan Pearce um Jonathan Pearce is the favorite at minus 135”
$1.74
WB
Willis Bermingham picks Jonathan Pearce
“I'm going to have Jonathan Pearce in this one uh money line says he's going to win”
Willis Bermingham picks Jonathan Pearce
“I'm going to have Jonathan Pearce in this one uh money line says he's going to win”
MM
MMAPlaya picks Pat Sabatini
“I think timir is going to gas and verar will find will get his way to a win”
MMAPlaya picks Pat Sabatini
“I think timir is going to gas and verar will find will get his way to a win”
EC
Ethan Caissie picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'll go with Jonathan Pearce”
Ethan Caissie picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'll go with Jonathan Pearce”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I personally think Jonathan Pearce wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I personally think Jonathan Pearce wins this fight”
WR
Wise Rise picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I like in this match up here to get the takedowns I believe his Pace will be too much”
$1.74
Wise Rise picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I like in this match up here to get the takedowns I believe his Pace will be too much”
$1.74
LM
Live Dogs MMA picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'm going to go with Pat seti he might be my most confident dog so far um tomorrow you got guys know parlays I'll have everything out I'm really leaning a live dog for Pat subi here”
Live Dogs MMA picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'm going to go with Pat seti he might be my most confident dog so far um tomorrow you got guys know parlays I'll have everything out I'm really leaning a live dog for Pat subi here”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jonathan Pearce
“look for a pierce to keep keep this fight upright push a pace on sabatini eventually break him and finish him in the second or third round”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jonathan Pearce
“look for a pierce to keep keep this fight upright push a pace on sabatini eventually break him and finish him in the second or third round”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sabatini21-5
W
Gomis
May '26
W
Mariscal
Nov '25
W
Brito
Apr '25
W
Pearce
Oct '24
L
Lopes
Nov '23
Pearce14-7
L
Sabatini
Oct '24
L
Onama
Apr '24
L
Brito
Nov '23
W
Elkins
Dec '22
W
Amirkhani
Jul '22