Choose a fight to analyse
SO
MV
O'Malley vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight
DP
BD
Poirier vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
MP
KH
Page vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
JM
GB
Maddalena vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight
PY
SY
Yan vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
JA
Blaydes vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MB
KC
Barber vs CerminaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MG
RA
Gamrot vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Lightweight
KP
PM
Phillips vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PL
IC
Lins vs CuțelabaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MP
MO
Pereira vs OleksiejczukEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RD
JP
Despaigne vs ParisianEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
AA
CV
Almabayev vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JW
MM
Wood vs MorozEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MV
O'Malley vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight
DP
BD
Poirier vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
MP
KH
Page vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
JM
GB
Maddalena vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight
PY
SY
Yan vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
JA
Blaydes vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MB
KC
Barber vs CerminaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MG
RA
Gamrot vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Lightweight
KP
PM
Phillips vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PL
IC
Lins vs CuțelabaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MP
MO
Pereira vs OleksiejczukEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RD
JP
Despaigne vs ParisianEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
AA
CV
Almabayev vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JW
MM
Wood vs MorozEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
O'Malley v Vera
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
O'Malley 19-3
VS
23-11-1 Vera
5'11"
height
5'8"
135 lb
weight
136 lb
72"
reach
70"
31
age
33
Switch
stance
Switch
5.4
strikes landed / min
4.9
55%
striking accuracy
46%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
56%
striking defence
52%
0.2
takedowns / 15 min
3.0
33%
takedown accuracy
69%
82%
takedown defence
66%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean O'Malley VALUE
“Sean O'Malley Shan Ali and especially he's rounds is uh Sean O'Malley in a in a very big think against Sean O'Malley so I'm on him uh 130”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean O'Malley VALUE
“Sean O'Malley Shan Ali and especially he's rounds is uh Sean O'Malley in a in a very big think against Sean O'Malley so I'm on him uh 130”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Sean O'Malley
“I'm going Sean O'Malley mate”
The Rambling Dad picks Sean O'Malley
“I'm going Sean O'Malley mate”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Marlon Vera
“so I'mma go with Marlon Vera ... I'm G stick with Marlon Vera”
The Rambling Dad picks Marlon Vera
“so I'mma go with Marlon Vera ... I'm G stick with Marlon Vera”
MM
Mmajessic picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“my favorite my pick for the main event for UFC 299 is going to be Shan O Mali”
Mmajessic picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“my favorite my pick for the main event for UFC 299 is going to be Shan O Mali”
BR
Broom picks Sean O'Malley VALUE
“I've got Sean O'Malley winning a very comfortable decision um I think he might be the first person to visually like stumble or hurt or even drop uh Marlon Vera I think that you know he's he's too he's too good with his range and finding the shot finding your chin and putting you down on your butt at least once all right he did it to Petr Yan he literally sat eljo down and eljo didn't get back up um I think I think Sean O'Malley is going to have a little bit of trouble with some of Marlon Vera's leg kicks and you know a few other things he can do maybe he gets pressured up against the fence and gets gets bonked around a few times and then you know skirts out of there and uh turns it around and just starts Landing piece by piece by piece by piece by piece over round over round over round against Marlon Vera and just kind of pretty comfortably pretty pretty clearly dominates him almost uh I am kind of rooting for Marlon Vera just because like you know he's a really good family guy he he's really he seems really fun and then sha ell's kind of cringe on the mic you know oh good night his his uh thre liner in uh in the press conference was was terrible man I mean it like delivery wise it could have been good like that could have been good my entire mik Ox bar went red is that when I go too loud is that when I go too loud no okay never mind all right uh yeah that's pretty much all I got to say I got that's all my picks you know sha Sean O'Malley good night I'll just go I'll scroll because I already mind blanked everything Sean O'Malley Dustin Poirier Kevin Holland Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena s Song Yadong Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes this lady matou gamot Kyler Phillips Kyler Phillips uh Elon calabo probably oh yeah he's even the favorite uh Michelle Michel Pereira he's also the favorite obviously NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 but I really would think it'd be hilarious if this stinking Pig just takes him down and beats him up and then Subs him or something I think that would be the funniest thing in the world uh and then you know I don't know either of these two guys I'm not going to lie NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 he looks familiar uh and then these two people exist I guess but I'll be there I'll watch all those fights and uh yeah if you disagree uh don't care but let me know anyways because I find it fun discuss why uh give me a chance maybe I'll add time stamps for this one but it's already 8:09 and I'm very tired and I don't care enough to probably do that um what else you know that's all I got you enjoyed you enjoyed you didn't you didn't leave a dislike I don't care mhm see we see what I think it'll probably actually break my heart don't do that don't buy this pay-per-view either because they're just uh Shan Melly you know they're trying to make him look like a big star I can get you a link all right see you [Music] bye [Music] n”
Broom picks Sean O'Malley VALUE
“I've got Sean O'Malley winning a very comfortable decision um I think he might be the first person to visually like stumble or hurt or even drop uh Marlon Vera I think that you know he's he's too he's too good with his range and finding the shot finding your chin and putting you down on your butt at least once all right he did it to Petr Yan he literally sat eljo down and eljo didn't get back up um I think I think Sean O'Malley is going to have a little bit of trouble with some of Marlon Vera's leg kicks and you know a few other things he can do maybe he gets pressured up against the fence and gets gets bonked around a few times and then you know skirts out of there and uh turns it around and just starts Landing piece by piece by piece by piece by piece over round over round over round against Marlon Vera and just kind of pretty comfortably pretty pretty clearly dominates him almost uh I am kind of rooting for Marlon Vera just because like you know he's a really good family guy he he's really he seems really fun and then sha ell's kind of cringe on the mic you know oh good night his his uh thre liner in uh in the press conference was was terrible man I mean it like delivery wise it could have been good like that could have been good my entire mik Ox bar went red is that when I go too loud is that when I go too loud no okay never mind all right uh yeah that's pretty much all I got to say I got that's all my picks you know sha Sean O'Malley good night I'll just go I'll scroll because I already mind blanked everything Sean O'Malley Dustin Poirier Kevin Holland Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena s Song Yadong Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes this lady matou gamot Kyler Phillips Kyler Phillips uh Elon calabo probably oh yeah he's even the favorite uh Michelle Michel Pereira he's also the favorite obviously NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 but I really would think it'd be hilarious if this stinking Pig just takes him down and beats him up and then Subs him or something I think that would be the funniest thing in the world uh and then you know I don't know either of these two guys I'm not going to lie NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 he looks familiar uh and then these two people exist I guess but I'll be there I'll watch all those fights and uh yeah if you disagree uh don't care but let me know anyways because I find it fun discuss why uh give me a chance maybe I'll add time stamps for this one but it's already 8:09 and I'm very tired and I don't care enough to probably do that um what else you know that's all I got you enjoyed you enjoyed you didn't you didn't leave a dislike I don't care mhm see we see what I think it'll probably actually break my heart don't do that don't buy this pay-per-view either because they're just uh Shan Melly you know they're trying to make him look like a big star I can get you a link all right see you [Music] bye [Music] n”
WP
WillMartin UFC Fight Predictions picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“Marlon Cho is going to be my Vera is going to be my last pick in this Ion Cuțelabard”
WillMartin UFC Fight Predictions picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“Marlon Cho is going to be my Vera is going to be my last pick in this Ion Cuțelabard”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Sean O'Malley
“70% of MSean O'Malley wins this one”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Sean O'Malley
“70% of MSean O'Malley wins this one”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“I'm gonna go for Marlon Vera by decision”
FightBookMMA picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“I'm gonna go for Marlon Vera by decision”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Sean O'Malley VALUE
“I'm calling it club and sub second round for Ian cout laa”
FightBookMMA picks Sean O'Malley VALUE
“I'm calling it club and sub second round for Ian cout laa”
VS
VSiN picks Sean O'Malley
“wSean O'Malley this is going to be a great fight... Sean O'Malley's got the skill the speed he's in a big cage he's going to have room to maneuver and he's got a good right hand in a very underrated grappling game”
$1.37
VSiN picks Sean O'Malley
“wSean O'Malley this is going to be a great fight... Sean O'Malley's got the skill the speed he's in a big cage he's going to have room to maneuver and he's got a good right hand in a very underrated grappling game”
$1.37
KU
Kunath picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“I think that Marlon Vera has the style that can give sha Ali tons of problems and I think over five rounds at 7,000 he needs to be in your value play consideration”
Kunath picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“I think that Marlon Vera has the style that can give sha Ali tons of problems and I think over five rounds at 7,000 he needs to be in your value play consideration”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
O'Malley19-3
W
Zahabi
Jun '26
W
Yadong
Jan '26
L
Dvalishvili
Jun '25
L
Dvalishvili
Sep '24
W
Vera
Mar '24
Vera23-11-1
L
Martínez
Feb '26
L
Zahabi
Oct '25
L
Figueiredo
Aug '24
L
O'Malley
Mar '24
W
Munhoz
Aug '23